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Технологические увольнения вверх или вниз в 20​26?

Market icon

Технологические увольнения вверх или вниз в 20​26?

Увеличатся

80% вероятность
Polymarket

$10,280 Объем

Увеличатся

80% вероятность
Polymarket

$10,280 Объем

This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026. If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 85% implied probability for tech layoffs rising in 2026 versus 2025, driven by a explosive Q1 surge exceeding 85,000 job cuts across over 200 companies—outpacing last year's full-year total early on. Major players like Amazon, Meta, Oracle, Intel, Block, and Atlassian have announced thousands of reductions, citing AI-driven restructuring, automation efficiencies, and economic headwinds amid high interest rates. Trackers such as TrueUp report a 40-50% year-over-year increase in daily cuts, with 20% explicitly tied to artificial intelligence shifts. Upcoming Q2 earnings calls and further AI infrastructure investments signal sustained pressure, though a sharp economic rebound could temper the trajectory.

This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).

This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.

If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.

Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.

This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).

Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Объем
$10,280
Дата окончания
28 фев. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026. If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026. If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 85% implied probability for tech layoffs rising in 2026 versus 2025, driven by a explosive Q1 surge exceeding 85,000 job cuts across over 200 companies—outpacing last year's full-year total early on. Major players like Amazon, Meta, Oracle, Intel, Block, and Atlassian have announced thousands of reductions, citing AI-driven restructuring, automation efficiencies, and economic headwinds amid high interest rates. Trackers such as TrueUp report a 40-50% year-over-year increase in daily cuts, with 20% explicitly tied to artificial intelligence shifts. Upcoming Q2 earnings calls and further AI infrastructure investments signal sustained pressure, though a sharp economic rebound could temper the trajectory.

This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).

This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.

If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.

Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.

This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).

Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Объем
$10,280
Дата окончания
28 фев. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026. If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Технологические увольнения вверх или вниз в 20​26?» — это рынок прогнозов дневной на Polymarket, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на то, закончится ли цена Технологические увольнения вверх или вниз в 20​26? выше («Up») или ниже («Down») своей цены открытия в течение окна дневной, указанного в заголовке. Текущая вероятность рынка составляет 86% для «Увеличатся». Цена 86% означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 86%. Цены обновляются в реальном времени по мере реакции трейдеров на движение цены Технологические увольнения вверх или вниз в 20​26?. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Технологические увольнения вверх или вниз в 20​26?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $10.3K. Рынки Технологические увольнения вверх или вниз в 20​26? Up или Down привлекают активных трейдеров, реагирующих на движение цен в реальном времени — такой уровень активности гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты Up/Down формируются широким кругом участников. Ты можешь следить за ценами в реальном времени и торговать прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Технологические увольнения вверх или вниз в 20​26?», реши, считаешь ли ты, что цена Технологические увольнения вверх или вниз в 20​26? в полдень ET February 27 будет выше («Up») или ниже («Down»), чем в полдень ET March 20. Купи «Up», если считаешь, что цена вырастет, или «Down», если считаешь, что упадёт. Введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой исход правильный, каждая акция принесёт $1,00. Если нет — акции будут стоить $0.

Текущая вероятность для «Технологические увольнения вверх или вниз в 20​26?» составляет 86% для «Увеличатся», что означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность того, что цена Технологические увольнения вверх или вниз в 20​26? закроется увеличатся в этом окне дневной, в 86%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере реакции трейдеров на данные о цене Технологические увольнения вверх или вниз в 20​26?. За целый день коэффициенты отражают развивающиеся настроения по мере развёртывания ценового движения дня. Заходи чаще или торгуй сейчас, пока окно не закрылось.

Рынок «Технологические увольнения вверх или вниз в 20​26?» разрешается на основе сравнения цены Технологические увольнения вверх или вниз в 20​26? в полдень ET February 27 с ценой в полдень ET March 20, используя цены закрытия минутных свечей Binance TECH-LAYOFFS/USDT. Если цена в полдень February 27 выше — исход «Up»; если ниже — «Down»; если равна — рынок разрешается 50-50. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии в разделе «Правила».