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Технологии·Big Tech

Технологические увольнения вверх или вниз в 20​26?

Market icon
Технологии·Big Tech

Технологические увольнения вверх или вниз в 20​26?

Увеличатся

93% вероятность
Polymarket

$10,387 Объем

Увеличатся

93% вероятность
Polymarket

$10,387 Объем

This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026. If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a strong 92.5% implied probability for more tech layoffs in 2026 than 2025, driven by an accelerating pace of job cuts already surpassing 85,000 YTD across 200+ companies—a daily average of 926 workers, up from 2025's 674. Oracle's abrupt April 1 announcement of up to 30,000 global layoffs for AI infrastructure prioritization exemplifies ongoing workforce optimization at giants like Meta, Amazon, and Dell amid economic headwinds and artificial intelligence adoption displacing roles in software engineering and operations. This early momentum, per trackers like TrueUp, positions 2026 to exceed 2025's ~246,000 total. Realistic challenges include a surprise economic rebound via Federal Reserve rate cuts spurring hiring or slower-than-expected AI integration limiting further cuts, though Q2 earnings calls loom as key catalysts.

This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).

This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.

If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.

Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.

This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).

Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Объем
$10,387
Дата окончания
28 фев. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026. If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026. If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a strong 92.5% implied probability for more tech layoffs in 2026 than 2025, driven by an accelerating pace of job cuts already surpassing 85,000 YTD across 200+ companies—a daily average of 926 workers, up from 2025's 674. Oracle's abrupt April 1 announcement of up to 30,000 global layoffs for AI infrastructure prioritization exemplifies ongoing workforce optimization at giants like Meta, Amazon, and Dell amid economic headwinds and artificial intelligence adoption displacing roles in software engineering and operations. This early momentum, per trackers like TrueUp, positions 2026 to exceed 2025's ~246,000 total. Realistic challenges include a surprise economic rebound via Federal Reserve rate cuts spurring hiring or slower-than-expected AI integration limiting further cuts, though Q2 earnings calls loom as key catalysts.

This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).

This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.

If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.

Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.

This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).

Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Объем
$10,387
Дата окончания
28 фев. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026. If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Технологические увольнения вверх или вниз в 20​26?» — это рынок прогнозов дневной на Polymarket, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на то, закончится ли цена Технологические увольнения вверх или вниз в 20​26? выше («Up») или ниже («Down») своей цены открытия в течение окна дневной, указанного в заголовке. Текущая вероятность рынка составляет 93% для «Увеличатся». Цена 93% означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 93%. Цены обновляются в реальном времени по мере реакции трейдеров на движение цены Технологические увольнения вверх или вниз в 20​26?. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Технологические увольнения вверх или вниз в 20​26?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $10.4K. Рынки Технологические увольнения вверх или вниз в 20​26? Up или Down привлекают активных трейдеров, реагирующих на движение цен в реальном времени — такой уровень активности гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты Up/Down формируются широким кругом участников. Ты можешь следить за ценами в реальном времени и торговать прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Технологические увольнения вверх или вниз в 20​26?», реши, считаешь ли ты, что цена Технологические увольнения вверх или вниз в 20​26? в полдень ET February 27 будет выше («Up») или ниже («Down»), чем в полдень ET March 20. Купи «Up», если считаешь, что цена вырастет, или «Down», если считаешь, что упадёт. Введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой исход правильный, каждая акция принесёт $1,00. Если нет — акции будут стоить $0.

Текущая вероятность для «Технологические увольнения вверх или вниз в 20​26?» составляет 93% для «Увеличатся», что означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность того, что цена Технологические увольнения вверх или вниз в 20​26? закроется увеличатся в этом окне дневной, в 93%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере реакции трейдеров на данные о цене Технологические увольнения вверх или вниз в 20​26?. За целый день коэффициенты отражают развивающиеся настроения по мере развёртывания ценового движения дня. Заходи чаще или торгуй сейчас, пока окно не закрылось.

Рынок «Технологические увольнения вверх или вниз в 20​26?» разрешается на основе сравнения цены Технологические увольнения вверх или вниз в 20​26? в полдень ET February 27 с ценой в полдень ET March 20, используя цены закрытия минутных свечей Binance TECH-LAYOFFS/USDT. Если цена в полдень February 27 выше — исход «Up»; если ниже — «Down»; если равна — рынок разрешается 50-50. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии в разделе «Правила».