Trader consensus in the Rhode Island Republican gubernatorial primary heavily favors Aaron Guckian at 57% implied probability, propelled by a recent internal poll showing him leading statewide among GOP voters with strong backing from grassroots conservatives and endorsements from local party leaders. Elaine Pelino trails at 30%, bolstered by her fundraising edge and prior statewide runs, though her momentum has cooled post-debate critiques. Ashley Kalus's 5% reflects name recognition from her 2022 lieutenant governor bid but limited recent activity, while Robert Raimondo and Jessica de la Cruz linger below 4% amid lower visibility. No major shifts since the latest FEC filings, with the September 2026 primary looming as the next catalyst.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоАарон Гаккиан 64.6%
Элейн Пелино 26%
Эшли Калус 5.0%
Роберт Раймондо 4.2%
Аарон Гаккиан
57%
Элейн Пелино
31%
Эшли Калус
5%
Роберт Раймондо
4%
Джессика де ла Крус
2%
Аарон Гаккиан 64.6%
Элейн Пелино 26%
Эшли Калус 5.0%
Роберт Раймондо 4.2%
Аарон Гаккиан
57%
Элейн Пелино
31%
Эшли Калус
5%
Роберт Раймондо
4%
Джессика де ла Крус
2%
If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 10, 2025, 11:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in the Rhode Island Republican gubernatorial primary heavily favors Aaron Guckian at 57% implied probability, propelled by a recent internal poll showing him leading statewide among GOP voters with strong backing from grassroots conservatives and endorsements from local party leaders. Elaine Pelino trails at 30%, bolstered by her fundraising edge and prior statewide runs, though her momentum has cooled post-debate critiques. Ashley Kalus's 5% reflects name recognition from her 2022 lieutenant governor bid but limited recent activity, while Robert Raimondo and Jessica de la Cruz linger below 4% amid lower visibility. No major shifts since the latest FEC filings, with the September 2026 primary looming as the next catalyst.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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