Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors fewer than 8,000 US flight delays on March 25, reflecting real-time tracking data from FAA and FlightAware showing delays well below that threshold amid favorable spring weather nationwide and no major disruptions like air traffic control outages or airline system failures seen earlier in the year. With roughly 45,000 daily commercial flights, the low count stems from minimal winter storm impacts, smooth operations at key hubs like Atlanta and Chicago, and reduced congestion post-holiday peaks. Final Bureau of Transportation Statistics numbers, typically released days later, could prompt minor revisions, but significant upward shifts would require evidence of underreported delays from tarmac holds or late-night flights; barring such anomalies, resolution appears straightforward.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено<8000 98.6%
8500-9000 <1%
9000-9500 <1%
9500-10000 <1%
$14,404 Объем
$14,404 Объем
<8000
99%
8000-8500
1%
8500-9000
1%
9000-9500
1%
9500-10000
1%
10000-10500
1%
10500-11000
1%
>11000
1%
<8000 98.6%
8500-9000 <1%
9000-9500 <1%
9500-10000 <1%
$14,404 Объем
$14,404 Объем
<8000
99%
8000-8500
1%
8500-9000
1%
9000-9500
1%
9500-10000
1%
10000-10500
1%
10500-11000
1%
>11000
1%
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors fewer than 8,000 US flight delays on March 25, reflecting real-time tracking data from FAA and FlightAware showing delays well below that threshold amid favorable spring weather nationwide and no major disruptions like air traffic control outages or airline system failures seen earlier in the year. With roughly 45,000 daily commercial flights, the low count stems from minimal winter storm impacts, smooth operations at key hubs like Atlanta and Chicago, and reduced congestion post-holiday peaks. Final Bureau of Transportation Statistics numbers, typically released days later, could prompt minor revisions, but significant upward shifts would require evidence of underreported delays from tarmac holds or late-night flights; barring such anomalies, resolution appears straightforward.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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