Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Magdalena Andersson at 59% implied probability to become Sweden's next prime minister, driven by recent polling averages showing her Social Democrats leading at around 35-36% support amid a left-bloc majority in Riksdag projections under proportional representation. Ulf Kristersson trails at 31%, reflecting Moderates' dip to 19-20% as his center-right coalition government—comprising Moderates, Christian Democrats, and Liberals, tolerated by Sweden Democrats—grapples with persistent gang violence, immigration pressures, and budget disputes. No snap election or no-confidence vote looms despite opposition criticism, but the September 2026 general election timeline favors the incumbent opposition leader. Jimmie Åkesson at 5.7% captures Sweden Democrats' kingmaker potential in coalition negotiations, while others remain longshots absent major shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСледующий премьер-министр Швеции
Следующий премьер-министр Швеции
Магдалена Андерссон 59%
Ульф Кристерссон 31%
Джимми Окесон 5.7%
Эбба Буш 1.8%
$1,211,221 Объем
$1,211,221 Объем

Магдалена Андерссон
59%

Ульф Кристерссон
31%

Джимми Окесон
6%

Эбба Буш
2%

Аманда Линд
<1%

Ноши Дадгостар
<1%

Анна-Карин Хатт
<1%

Симона Мохамссон
<1%

Даниэль Хелльден
<1%

Элизабет Танд Рингквист
<1%
Магдалена Андерссон 59%
Ульф Кристерссон 31%
Джимми Окесон 5.7%
Эбба Буш 1.8%
$1,211,221 Объем
$1,211,221 Объем

Магдалена Андерссон
59%

Ульф Кристерссон
31%

Джимми Окесон
6%

Эбба Буш
2%

Аманда Линд
<1%

Ноши Дадгостар
<1%

Анна-Карин Хатт
<1%

Симона Мохамссон
<1%

Даниэль Хелльден
<1%

Элизабет Танд Рингквист
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Magdalena Andersson at 59% implied probability to become Sweden's next prime minister, driven by recent polling averages showing her Social Democrats leading at around 35-36% support amid a left-bloc majority in Riksdag projections under proportional representation. Ulf Kristersson trails at 31%, reflecting Moderates' dip to 19-20% as his center-right coalition government—comprising Moderates, Christian Democrats, and Liberals, tolerated by Sweden Democrats—grapples with persistent gang violence, immigration pressures, and budget disputes. No snap election or no-confidence vote looms despite opposition criticism, but the September 2026 general election timeline favors the incumbent opposition leader. Jimmie Åkesson at 5.7% captures Sweden Democrats' kingmaker potential in coalition negotiations, while others remain longshots absent major shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы