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Next leader out of power before 2027?

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Next leader out of power before 2027?

Dec 31

Dec 31

Орбан — премьер-министр Венгрии 33%

Диас-Канель — президент Кубы 32%

Стармер — премьер-министр Великобритании 11%

Мерц - канцлер Германии 4.7%

Polymarket

$48,186 Объем

Орбан — премьер-министр Венгрии 33%

Диас-Канель — президент Кубы 32%

Стармер — премьер-министр Великобритании 11%

Мерц - канцлер Германии 4.7%

Polymarket

$48,186 Объем

Орбан — премьер-министр Венгрии

$2,437 Объем

33%

Диас-Канель — президент Кубы

$2,252 Объем

32%

Стармер — премьер-министр Великобритании

$2,994 Объем

11%

Мерц - канцлер Германии

$1,683 Объем

5%

Зеленский — Президент Украины

$1,810 Объем

4%

Трамп - Президент США

$1,891 Объем

4%

аль-Шараа - Президент Сирии

$1,577 Объем

3%

Никто до 2027 года

$1,520 Объем

3%

Санчес — премьер-министр Испании

$1,495 Объем

3%

Родригес - исполняющая обязанности президента Венесуэлы

$2,375 Объем

3%

Шейнбаум — Президент Мексики

$2,056 Объем

3%

Макрон — Президент Франции

$1,765 Объем

2%

Путин – Президент России

$2,412 Объем

2%

Петро — Президент Колумбии

$2,059 Объем

2%

Нетаньяху - премьер-министр Израиля

$2,260 Объем

2%

Лекорню — Премьер-министр Франции

$1,790 Объем

2%

Аббас — президент Палестины

$1,975 Объем

2%

Эрдоган — Президент Турции

$2,059 Объем

2%

Ким — Верховный лидер Северной Кореи

$1,623 Объем

2%

Такаити - Премьер-министр Японии

$1,477 Объем

1%

Си — Генеральный секретарь КПК

$1,496 Объем

1%

Лула да Силва — президент Бразилии

$2,167 Объем

1%

Ньюсом - губернатор Калифорнии

$1,519 Объем

1%

Милей — Президент Аргентины

$1,493 Объем

1%

Албанезе — премьер-министр Австралии

$2,000 Объем

1%

This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.

An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.

Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.

Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.

If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$48,186
Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026
Открытие рынка
Mar 2, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Next leader out of power before 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 25 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Орбан — премьер-министр Венгрии" at 33%, followed by "Диас-Канель — президент Кубы" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 33¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next leader out of power before 2027?" has generated $48.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next leader out of power before 2027?," browse the 25 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next leader out of power before 2027?" is "Орбан — премьер-министр Венгрии" at 33%, meaning the market assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Диас-Канель — президент Кубы" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next leader out of power before 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.