Market icon

Следующий лидер отстранен от власти до 2027 года?

Market icon

Следующий лидер отстранен от власти до 2027 года?

дек. 31

дек. 31

Орбан — премьер-министр Венгрии 60%

Диас-Канель — президент Кубы 16%

Стармер — премьер-министр Великобритании 4.8%

Нетаньяху - премьер-министр Израиля 4.6%

Polymarket

$3,424,030 Объем

Орбан — премьер-министр Венгрии 60%

Диас-Канель — президент Кубы 16%

Стармер — премьер-министр Великобритании 4.8%

Нетаньяху - премьер-министр Израиля 4.6%

Polymarket

$3,424,030 Объем

Орбан — премьер-министр Венгрии

$30,272 Объем

60%

Диас-Канель — президент Кубы

$21,629 Объем

16%

Стармер — премьер-министр Великобритании

$561,737 Объем

5%

Нетаньяху - премьер-министр Израиля

$1,014,248 Объем

5%

Такаити - Премьер-министр Японии

$355,093 Объем

2%

Трамп - Президент США

$216,613 Объем

2%

Путин – Президент России

$355,195 Объем

2%

Петро — Президент Колумбии

$16,070 Объем

2%

Никто до 2027 года

$19,391 Объем

2%

Аббас — президент Палестины

$87,131 Объем

1%

Макрон — Президент Франции

$73,946 Объем

1%

Зеленский — Президент Украины

$18,510 Объем

1%

Си — Генеральный секретарь КПК

$42,336 Объем

1%

Лекорню — Премьер-министр Франции

$58,693 Объем

1%

Санчес — премьер-министр Испании

$14,166 Объем

1%

аль-Шараа - Президент Сирии

$45,568 Объем

1%

Лула да Силва — президент Бразилии

$43,235 Объем

1%

Родригес - исполняющая обязанности президента Венесуэлы

$27,427 Объем

<1%

Эрдоган — Президент Турции

$78,369 Объем

<1%

Ким — Верховный лидер Северной Кореи

$27,289 Объем

<1%

Албанезе — премьер-министр Австралии

$61,533 Объем

<1%

Ньюсом - губернатор Калифорнии

$117,706 Объем

<1%

Милей — Президент Аргентины

$40,032 Объем

<1%

Мерц - канцлер Германии

$31,139 Объем

<1%

Шейнбаум — Президент Мексики

$66,701 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Traders price Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán at 59.5% to exit power before 2027, driven by opposition Tisza party's widening poll lead over Fidesz ahead of the April 12 parliamentary election—recent surveys from March 25–30 show Tisza ahead by double digits amid economic discontent and scandals eroding Orbán's long incumbency advantage. Cuba's President Miguel Díaz-Canel follows at 15.5%, reflecting intensified U.S. pressure under the Trump administration for leadership change, including demands for his removal by year-end despite Havana's rejection of term negotiations last week. Lower odds for U.K. PM Keir Starmer (4.8%) and Israel PM Benjamin Netanyahu (4.6%) stem from Starmer's poor approval ratings but a 2029 election timeline, and Netanyahu's war-related protests without imminent no-confidence vote; distant elections or entrenched rule keep others below 5%, with "None" at just 1.6% signaling competitive risks.

This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.

An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.

Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.

Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.

If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$3,424,030
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 2, 2026, 7:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Traders price Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán at 59.5% to exit power before 2027, driven by opposition Tisza party's widening poll lead over Fidesz ahead of the April 12 parliamentary election—recent surveys from March 25–30 show Tisza ahead by double digits amid economic discontent and scandals eroding Orbán's long incumbency advantage. Cuba's President Miguel Díaz-Canel follows at 15.5%, reflecting intensified U.S. pressure under the Trump administration for leadership change, including demands for his removal by year-end despite Havana's rejection of term negotiations last week. Lower odds for U.K. PM Keir Starmer (4.8%) and Israel PM Benjamin Netanyahu (4.6%) stem from Starmer's poor approval ratings but a 2029 election timeline, and Netanyahu's war-related protests without imminent no-confidence vote; distant elections or entrenched rule keep others below 5%, with "None" at just 1.6% signaling competitive risks.

This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.

An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.

Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.

Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.

If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$3,424,030
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 2, 2026, 7:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Следующий лидер отстранен от власти до 2027 года?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 25 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Орбан — премьер-министр Венгрии» с 60%, за ним следует «Диас-Канель — президент Кубы» с 16%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 60¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 60%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Следующий лидер отстранен от власти до 2027 года?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $3.4 million с момента запуска рынка Mar 3, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Следующий лидер отстранен от власти до 2027 года?», просмотри 25 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Следующий лидер отстранен от власти до 2027 года?» — «Орбан — премьер-министр Венгрии» с 60%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 60%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Диас-Канель — президент Кубы» с 16%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Следующий лидер отстранен от власти до 2027 года?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.