Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 84% implied probability for March 2026 US CPI month-over-month at ≥0.8%, driven primarily by the Cleveland Fed's March 27 nowcast of 0.76% headline CPI—elevated from February's 0.5% print—amid surging oil prices and persistent services inflation. The FOMC's March 18 dot plot revised 2026 PCE inflation projections upward to 2.7% median, signaling heightened policy caution, while University of Michigan March survey inflation expectations jumped to 3.8% year-ahead. February CPI met consensus at 2.4% year-over-year but core components showed stickiness, reinforcing bets on a hotter-than-expected March readout ahead of the April 10 release. Markets reflect skin-in-the-game positioning for sustained disinflation challenges.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено≥0,8% 85%
0.7% 12%
≤0.3% 1.8%
0.6% 1.6%
$494,019 Объем
$494,019 Объем
Apr 10, 2026
≤0.3%
2%
0.4%
1%
0.5%
1%
0.6%
2%
0.7%
12%
≥0,8%
85%
≥0,8% 85%
0.7% 12%
≤0.3% 1.8%
0.6% 1.6%
$494,019 Объем
$494,019 Объем
Apr 10, 2026
≤0.3%
$197,610 Объем
2%
0.4%
$84,342 Объем
1%
0.5%
$57,920 Объем
1%
0.6%
$41,896 Объем
2%
0.7%
$39,498 Объем
12%
≥0,8%
$72,753 Объем
85%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in March 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 84% implied probability for March 2026 US CPI month-over-month at ≥0.8%, driven primarily by the Cleveland Fed's March 27 nowcast of 0.76% headline CPI—elevated from February's 0.5% print—amid surging oil prices and persistent services inflation. The FOMC's March 18 dot plot revised 2026 PCE inflation projections upward to 2.7% median, signaling heightened policy caution, while University of Michigan March survey inflation expectations jumped to 3.8% year-ahead. February CPI met consensus at 2.4% year-over-year but core components showed stickiness, reinforcing bets on a hotter-than-expected March readout ahead of the April 10 release. Markets reflect skin-in-the-game positioning for sustained disinflation challenges.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in March 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in March 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Открытие рынка: Mar 11, 2026, 1:24 PM ET
Объем
$494,019Дата окончания
Apr 10, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 11, 2026, 1:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in March 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 84% implied probability for March 2026 US CPI month-over-month at ≥0.8%, driven primarily by the Cleveland Fed's March 27 nowcast of 0.76% headline CPI—elevated from February's 0.5% print—amid surging oil prices and persistent services inflation. The FOMC's March 18 dot plot revised 2026 PCE inflation projections upward to 2.7% median, signaling heightened policy caution, while University of Michigan March survey inflation expectations jumped to 3.8% year-ahead. February CPI met consensus at 2.4% year-over-year but core components showed stickiness, reinforcing bets on a hotter-than-expected March readout ahead of the April 10 release. Markets reflect skin-in-the-game positioning for sustained disinflation challenges.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in March 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in March 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Объем
$494,019Дата окончания
Apr 10, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 11, 2026, 1:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 84% implied probability for March 2026 US CPI month-over-month at ≥0.8%, driven primarily by the Cleveland Fed's March 27 nowcast of 0.76% headline CPI—elevated from February's 0.5% print—amid surging oil prices and persistent services inflation. The FOMC's March 18 dot plot revised 2026 PCE inflation projections upward to 2.7% median, signaling heightened policy caution, while University of Michigan March survey inflation expectations jumped to 3.8% year-ahead. February CPI met consensus at 2.4% year-over-year but core components showed stickiness, reinforcing bets on a hotter-than-expected March readout ahead of the April 10 release. Markets reflect skin-in-the-game positioning for sustained disinflation challenges.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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