Kamala flips Trump on Silver Bulletin by Sept 30?
Kamala flips Trump on Silver Bulletin by Sept 30?
$347,289 Объем
$347,289 Объем
Sep 30, 2024
$347,289 Объем
$347,289 Объем
Sep 30, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris is more likely to win the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election than Donald Trump according to the Silver Bulletin for any date between September 9 and September 30, 2024 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as a flip occurs, or otherwise once figures are available for every date within this market's range.
If there are updates to previous figures before the release of the last figure it will count for this market. However, any updates after the release of the September 30 figures will not be considered.
The resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model, specifically the probability of winning the Electoral College.
Note: Ties will not qualify as a flip. The model must show Kamala Harris with a greater probability of winning the electoral college than Donald Trump.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris is more likely to win the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election than Donald Trump according to the Silver Bulletin for any date between September 9 and September 30, 2024 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as a flip occurs, or otherwise once figures are available for every date within this market's range.
If there are updates to previous figures before the release of the last figure it will count for this market. However, any updates after the release of the September 30 figures will not be considered.
The resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model, specifically the probability of winning the Electoral College.
Note: Ties will not qualify as a flip. The model must show Kamala Harris with a greater probability of winning the electoral college than Donald Trump.
This market will resolve as soon as a flip occurs, or otherwise once figures are available for every date within this market's range.
If there are updates to previous figures before the release of the last figure it will count for this market. However, any updates after the release of the September 30 figures will not be considered.
The resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model, specifically the probability of winning the Electoral College.
Note: Ties will not qualify as a flip. The model must show Kamala Harris with a greater probability of winning the electoral college than Donald Trump.
Открытие рынка: Sep 10, 2024, 5:21 PM ET
Объем
$347,289Дата окончания
Sep 30, 2024Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2024, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris is more likely to win the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election than Donald Trump according to the Silver Bulletin for any date between September 9 and September 30, 2024 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as a flip occurs, or otherwise once figures are available for every date within this market's range.
If there are updates to previous figures before the release of the last figure it will count for this market. However, any updates after the release of the September 30 figures will not be considered.
The resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model, specifically the probability of winning the Electoral College.
Note: Ties will not qualify as a flip. The model must show Kamala Harris with a greater probability of winning the electoral college than Donald Trump.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris is more likely to win the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election than Donald Trump according to the Silver Bulletin for any date between September 9 and September 30, 2024 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as a flip occurs, or otherwise once figures are available for every date within this market's range.
If there are updates to previous figures before the release of the last figure it will count for this market. However, any updates after the release of the September 30 figures will not be considered.
The resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model, specifically the probability of winning the Electoral College.
Note: Ties will not qualify as a flip. The model must show Kamala Harris with a greater probability of winning the electoral college than Donald Trump.
This market will resolve as soon as a flip occurs, or otherwise once figures are available for every date within this market's range.
If there are updates to previous figures before the release of the last figure it will count for this market. However, any updates after the release of the September 30 figures will not be considered.
The resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model, specifically the probability of winning the Electoral College.
Note: Ties will not qualify as a flip. The model must show Kamala Harris with a greater probability of winning the electoral college than Donald Trump.
Объем
$347,289Дата окончания
Sep 30, 2024Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2024, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes

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