Ongoing indirect US-Iran nuclear negotiations, mediated by Oman, hit an impasse after the US presented a 15-point proposal on March 25 requiring Iran to hand over its enriched uranium stockpile, end enrichment, and dismantle facilities, prompting Tehran's rejection and counteroffer. Earlier optimism stemmed from Omani Foreign Minister Badr Albusaidi's February 28 statement that Iran agreed to zero accumulation of enriched uranium with full IAEA verification, but sticking points include sanctions relief, program dismantlement, and IAEA access amid reports of Iran's intact near-weapons-grade stockpile at sites like Isfahan. Traders monitor for any public Iranian commitment to surrender the stockpile by market deadlines, with next diplomatic rounds or IAEA Board updates in late March potentially shifting sentiment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
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Dec 31, 2026
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
An agreement by Iran to surrender any amount of its enriched uranium stockpile will count.
To qualify, Iran must publicly agree that its enriched uranium stockpile, or any portion thereof, will be transferred, shipped, or placed under the custody or control of any entity outside of Iran and its influence, excluding non-state armed groups or Iranian-aligned organizations (such as Hezbollah, the Houthis, or similar actors).
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing indirect US-Iran nuclear negotiations, mediated by Oman, hit an impasse after the US presented a 15-point proposal on March 25 requiring Iran to hand over its enriched uranium stockpile, end enrichment, and dismantle facilities, prompting Tehran's rejection and counteroffer. Earlier optimism stemmed from Omani Foreign Minister Badr Albusaidi's February 28 statement that Iran agreed to zero accumulation of enriched uranium with full IAEA verification, but sticking points include sanctions relief, program dismantlement, and IAEA access amid reports of Iran's intact near-weapons-grade stockpile at sites like Isfahan. Traders monitor for any public Iranian commitment to surrender the stockpile by market deadlines, with next diplomatic rounds or IAEA Board updates in late March potentially shifting sentiment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
An agreement by Iran to surrender any amount of its enriched uranium stockpile will count.
To qualify, Iran must publicly agree that its enriched uranium stockpile, or any portion thereof, will be transferred, shipped, or placed under the custody or control of any entity outside of Iran and its influence, excluding non-state armed groups or Iranian-aligned organizations (such as Hezbollah, the Houthis, or similar actors).
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
An agreement by Iran to surrender any amount of its enriched uranium stockpile will count.
To qualify, Iran must publicly agree that its enriched uranium stockpile, or any portion thereof, will be transferred, shipped, or placed under the custody or control of any entity outside of Iran and its influence, excluding non-state armed groups or Iranian-aligned organizations (such as Hezbollah, the Houthis, or similar actors).
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Mar 26, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
Объем
$28,634Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 26, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
An agreement by Iran to surrender any amount of its enriched uranium stockpile will count.
To qualify, Iran must publicly agree that its enriched uranium stockpile, or any portion thereof, will be transferred, shipped, or placed under the custody or control of any entity outside of Iran and its influence, excluding non-state armed groups or Iranian-aligned organizations (such as Hezbollah, the Houthis, or similar actors).
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing indirect US-Iran nuclear negotiations, mediated by Oman, hit an impasse after the US presented a 15-point proposal on March 25 requiring Iran to hand over its enriched uranium stockpile, end enrichment, and dismantle facilities, prompting Tehran's rejection and counteroffer. Earlier optimism stemmed from Omani Foreign Minister Badr Albusaidi's February 28 statement that Iran agreed to zero accumulation of enriched uranium with full IAEA verification, but sticking points include sanctions relief, program dismantlement, and IAEA access amid reports of Iran's intact near-weapons-grade stockpile at sites like Isfahan. Traders monitor for any public Iranian commitment to surrender the stockpile by market deadlines, with next diplomatic rounds or IAEA Board updates in late March potentially shifting sentiment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
An agreement by Iran to surrender any amount of its enriched uranium stockpile will count.
To qualify, Iran must publicly agree that its enriched uranium stockpile, or any portion thereof, will be transferred, shipped, or placed under the custody or control of any entity outside of Iran and its influence, excluding non-state armed groups or Iranian-aligned organizations (such as Hezbollah, the Houthis, or similar actors).
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
An agreement by Iran to surrender any amount of its enriched uranium stockpile will count.
To qualify, Iran must publicly agree that its enriched uranium stockpile, or any portion thereof, will be transferred, shipped, or placed under the custody or control of any entity outside of Iran and its influence, excluding non-state armed groups or Iranian-aligned organizations (such as Hezbollah, the Houthis, or similar actors).
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$28,634Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 26, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing indirect US-Iran nuclear negotiations, mediated by Oman, hit an impasse after the US presented a 15-point proposal on March 25 requiring Iran to hand over its enriched uranium stockpile, end enrichment, and dismantle facilities, prompting Tehran's rejection and counteroffer. Earlier optimism stemmed from Omani Foreign Minister Badr Albusaidi's February 28 statement that Iran agreed to zero accumulation of enriched uranium with full IAEA verification, but sticking points include sanctions relief, program dismantlement, and IAEA access amid reports of Iran's intact near-weapons-grade stockpile at sites like Isfahan. Traders monitor for any public Iranian commitment to surrender the stockpile by market deadlines, with next diplomatic rounds or IAEA Board updates in late March potentially shifting sentiment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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