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How many Executive Orders will Trump issue on Day 1?

Market icon

How many Executive Orders will Trump issue on Day 1?

Ended: Jan 20, 2025

Ended: Jan 20, 2025

25-29 100.0%

15-19 <1%

40+ <1%

<10 <1%

Polymarket

$4,664,505 Объем

25-29 100.0%

15-19 <1%

40+ <1%

<10 <1%

Polymarket

$4,664,505 Объем

<10

$426,829 Объем

No

10-14

$323,677 Объем

No

15-19

$194,292 Объем

No

20-24

$284,147 Объем

No

25-29

$707,489 Объем

Yes

30-34

$200,960 Объем

No

35-39

$202,957 Объем

No

40+

$2,324,155 Объем

No

This market will resolve to “Yes” Donald Trump as US President issues and signs less than 10 executive orders on January 20, 2025.

Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is the the Office of the Federal Register (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders) however official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/) may also be used. Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 20, 2025 will count for this market.
Объем
$4,664,505
Дата окончания
Jan 20, 2025
Открытие рынка
Jan 8, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” Donald Trump as US President issues and signs less than 10 executive orders on January 20, 2025. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the the Office of the Federal Register (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders) however official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/) may also be used. Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 20, 2025 will count for this market.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Frequently Asked Questions

"How many Executive Orders will Trump issue on Day 1?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "25-29" at 100%, followed by "<10" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "How many Executive Orders will Trump issue on Day 1?" has generated $4.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 8, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "How many Executive Orders will Trump issue on Day 1?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "How many Executive Orders will Trump issue on Day 1?" is "25-29" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<10" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "How many Executive Orders will Trump issue on Day 1?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.