Yemen's Houthi rebels, backed by Iran, have intensified missile and drone attacks on Israel amid the ongoing Gaza conflict, with the most recent verifiable strike attempt on September 27, 2024, when a ballistic missile was launched toward central Israel and intercepted by Israeli defenses. This followed U.S. airstrikes on Houthi targets in Yemen earlier that week, aimed at degrading their capabilities after attacks on Red Sea shipping. No successful hits on Israeli territory have occurred since November 2023, though threats persist tied to Israel's operations in Gaza and Lebanon. Traders watch for escalation signals, including potential Houthi responses to Israeli or U.S. actions, amid diplomatic efforts for ceasefires. Upcoming U.S. carrier deployments and UN Security Council sessions could influence de-escalation prospects.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоХуситы нанесли удар по Израилю...?
Хуситы нанесли удар по Израилю...?
$500,418 Объем
31 марта
5%
15 апреля
24%
$500,418 Объем
31 марта
5%
15 апреля
24%
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 12:53 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Yemen's Houthi rebels, backed by Iran, have intensified missile and drone attacks on Israel amid the ongoing Gaza conflict, with the most recent verifiable strike attempt on September 27, 2024, when a ballistic missile was launched toward central Israel and intercepted by Israeli defenses. This followed U.S. airstrikes on Houthi targets in Yemen earlier that week, aimed at degrading their capabilities after attacks on Red Sea shipping. No successful hits on Israeli territory have occurred since November 2023, though threats persist tied to Israel's operations in Gaza and Lebanon. Traders watch for escalation signals, including potential Houthi responses to Israeli or U.S. actions, amid diplomatic efforts for ceasefires. Upcoming U.S. carrier deployments and UN Security Council sessions could influence de-escalation prospects.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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