Trader consensus favors 62-63°F (35.5% implied probability) as San Francisco's highest temperature at KSFO on April 1, aligning with the latest National Weather Service forecasts projecting daytime highs near 62-65°F under mostly cloudy skies and 40-60% chances of rain, mainly afternoon. This cooling from today's forecasted 73°F high stems from an incoming upper-level trough introducing cooler moist air and strengthening the persistent marine layer typical of Bay Area spring, which caps temperatures via low-level stratus clouds and onshore flow. Model ensembles show little spread, with historical April 1 averages around 63°F at KSFO reinforcing mid-60s positioning; overnight updates or precip timing could shift odds by 1-2°F before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in San Francisco on April 1?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 1?
62-63°F 36%
64-65°F 25%
60-61°F 19%
66-67°F 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 апр. 2026 г.
53°F or below
1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
6%
60-61°F
19%
62-63°F
36%
64-65°F
25%
66-67°F
14%
68-69°F
4%
70-71°F
<1%
72°F or higher
<1%
62-63°F 36%
64-65°F 25%
60-61°F 19%
66-67°F 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 апр. 2026 г.
53°F or below
$1,722 Объем
1%
54-55°F
$439 Объем
1%
56-57°F
$369 Объем
2%
58-59°F
$438 Объем
6%
60-61°F
$358 Объем
19%
62-63°F
$498 Объем
36%
64-65°F
$220 Объем
25%
66-67°F
$257 Объем
14%
68-69°F
$461 Объем
4%
70-71°F
$311 Объем
<1%
72°F or higher
$447 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 62-63°F (35.5% implied probability) as San Francisco's highest temperature at KSFO on April 1, aligning with the latest National Weather Service forecasts projecting daytime highs near 62-65°F under mostly cloudy skies and 40-60% chances of rain, mainly afternoon. This cooling from today's forecasted 73°F high stems from an incoming upper-level trough introducing cooler moist air and strengthening the persistent marine layer typical of Bay Area spring, which caps temperatures via low-level stratus clouds and onshore flow. Model ensembles show little spread, with historical April 1 averages around 63°F at KSFO reinforcing mid-60s positioning; overnight updates or precip timing could shift odds by 1-2°F before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Объем
$5,519Дата окончания
1 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 4:12 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 62-63°F (35.5% implied probability) as San Francisco's highest temperature at KSFO on April 1, aligning with the latest National Weather Service forecasts projecting daytime highs near 62-65°F under mostly cloudy skies and 40-60% chances of rain, mainly afternoon. This cooling from today's forecasted 73°F high stems from an incoming upper-level trough introducing cooler moist air and strengthening the persistent marine layer typical of Bay Area spring, which caps temperatures via low-level stratus clouds and onshore flow. Model ensembles show little spread, with historical April 1 averages around 63°F at KSFO reinforcing mid-60s positioning; overnight updates or precip timing could shift odds by 1-2°F before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$5,519Дата окончания
1 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 4:12 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 62-63°F (35.5% implied probability) as San Francisco's highest temperature at KSFO on April 1, aligning with the latest National Weather Service forecasts projecting daytime highs near 62-65°F under mostly cloudy skies and 40-60% chances of rain, mainly afternoon. This cooling from today's forecasted 73°F high stems from an incoming upper-level trough introducing cooler moist air and strengthening the persistent marine layer typical of Bay Area spring, which caps temperatures via low-level stratus clouds and onshore flow. Model ensembles show little spread, with historical April 1 averages around 63°F at KSFO reinforcing mid-60s positioning; overnight updates or precip timing could shift odds by 1-2°F before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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