Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's ongoing legal saga, with 10-20 years (27.7%) edging out no prison time (27.6%) amid pending New York sentencing on his 2025 first-degree criminal sexual act conviction—carrying up to 25 years—and an April 14 retrial start for a hung-jury rape charge. Recent catalysts include his March 10 Rikers Island interview decrying "hellish" isolation and assaults while insisting on innocence, a March 25 missed hearing after a courtroom outburst, and January plea talks for concurrent time served after nearly six years detained. California’s 16-year rape sentence remains under appeal, amplifying chances for reduced or effective no additional time given his fragile health at 73. Key swings hinge on sentencing rulings and trial delays.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоХарви Вайнштейн в тюрьме?
Харви Вайнштейн в тюрьме?
10–20 лет 27.6%
Без тюремного срока 27.6%
20-30 лет 22.5%
Менее 5 лет 9.3%
$682,406 Объем
$682,406 Объем
Dec 31, 2025
Без тюремного срока
28%
Менее 5 лет
9%
5-10 лет
7%
10–20 лет
28%
20-30 лет
22%
Более 30 лет
5%
10–20 лет 27.6%
Без тюремного срока 27.6%
20-30 лет 22.5%
Менее 5 лет 9.3%
$682,406 Объем
$682,406 Объем
Dec 31, 2025
Без тюремного срока
$291,984 Объем
28%
Менее 5 лет
$48,834 Объем
9%
5-10 лет
$34,830 Объем
7%
10–20 лет
$120,977 Объем
28%
20-30 лет
$151,178 Объем
22%
Более 30 лет
$34,603 Объем
5%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's ongoing legal saga, with 10-20 years (27.7%) edging out no prison time (27.6%) amid pending New York sentencing on his 2025 first-degree criminal sexual act conviction—carrying up to 25 years—and an April 14 retrial start for a hung-jury rape charge. Recent catalysts include his March 10 Rikers Island interview decrying "hellish" isolation and assaults while insisting on innocence, a March 25 missed hearing after a courtroom outburst, and January plea talks for concurrent time served after nearly six years detained. California’s 16-year rape sentence remains under appeal, amplifying chances for reduced or effective no additional time given his fragile health at 73. Key swings hinge on sentencing rulings and trial delays.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
Объем
$682,406Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2025Открытие рынка
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's ongoing legal saga, with 10-20 years (27.7%) edging out no prison time (27.6%) amid pending New York sentencing on his 2025 first-degree criminal sexual act conviction—carrying up to 25 years—and an April 14 retrial start for a hung-jury rape charge. Recent catalysts include his March 10 Rikers Island interview decrying "hellish" isolation and assaults while insisting on innocence, a March 25 missed hearing after a courtroom outburst, and January plea talks for concurrent time served after nearly six years detained. California’s 16-year rape sentence remains under appeal, amplifying chances for reduced or effective no additional time given his fragile health at 73. Key swings hinge on sentencing rulings and trial delays.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$682,406Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2025Открытие рынка
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's ongoing legal saga, with 10-20 years (27.7%) edging out no prison time (27.6%) amid pending New York sentencing on his 2025 first-degree criminal sexual act conviction—carrying up to 25 years—and an April 14 retrial start for a hung-jury rape charge. Recent catalysts include his March 10 Rikers Island interview decrying "hellish" isolation and assaults while insisting on innocence, a March 25 missed hearing after a courtroom outburst, and January plea talks for concurrent time served after nearly six years detained. California’s 16-year rape sentence remains under appeal, amplifying chances for reduced or effective no additional time given his fragile health at 73. Key swings hinge on sentencing rulings and trial delays.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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