Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's #MeToo reckoning, with no prison time edging 10-20 years amid his ongoing legal limbo and frail health at age 74. A January 2026 ruling upheld his June 2025 New York sexual assault conviction—carrying up to 25 years—while rejecting a new trial bid, but a third rape retrial looms April 14, and his 2022 California 16-year rape sentence stands consecutive despite appeals. Recent maneuvers include a February legal team swap and March 10 Rikers Island interview decrying "hellish" isolation and failing health, fueling bets on pleas for concurrent time or compassionate release. Swing factors: retrial verdict, appeal outcomes, and medical fragility could tip toward lighter effective sentences versus stacked terms.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоХарви Вайнштейн в тюрьме?
Харви Вайнштейн в тюрьме?
Без тюремного срока 29.3%
10–20 лет 27.9%
20-30 лет 21.5%
Менее 5 лет 9.3%
$684,033 Объем
$684,033 Объем
Dec 31, 2025
Без тюремного срока
29%
Менее 5 лет
9%
5-10 лет
8%
10–20 лет
28%
20-30 лет
22%
Более 30 лет
7%
Без тюремного срока 29.3%
10–20 лет 27.9%
20-30 лет 21.5%
Менее 5 лет 9.3%
$684,033 Объем
$684,033 Объем
Dec 31, 2025
Без тюремного срока
$292,471 Объем
29%
Менее 5 лет
$49,064 Объем
9%
5-10 лет
$35,275 Объем
8%
10–20 лет
$121,009 Объем
28%
20-30 лет
$151,297 Объем
22%
Более 30 лет
$34,916 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's #MeToo reckoning, with no prison time edging 10-20 years amid his ongoing legal limbo and frail health at age 74. A January 2026 ruling upheld his June 2025 New York sexual assault conviction—carrying up to 25 years—while rejecting a new trial bid, but a third rape retrial looms April 14, and his 2022 California 16-year rape sentence stands consecutive despite appeals. Recent maneuvers include a February legal team swap and March 10 Rikers Island interview decrying "hellish" isolation and failing health, fueling bets on pleas for concurrent time or compassionate release. Swing factors: retrial verdict, appeal outcomes, and medical fragility could tip toward lighter effective sentences versus stacked terms.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
Объем
$684,033Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2025Открытие рынка
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's #MeToo reckoning, with no prison time edging 10-20 years amid his ongoing legal limbo and frail health at age 74. A January 2026 ruling upheld his June 2025 New York sexual assault conviction—carrying up to 25 years—while rejecting a new trial bid, but a third rape retrial looms April 14, and his 2022 California 16-year rape sentence stands consecutive despite appeals. Recent maneuvers include a February legal team swap and March 10 Rikers Island interview decrying "hellish" isolation and failing health, fueling bets on pleas for concurrent time or compassionate release. Swing factors: retrial verdict, appeal outcomes, and medical fragility could tip toward lighter effective sentences versus stacked terms.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$684,033Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2025Открытие рынка
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's #MeToo reckoning, with no prison time edging 10-20 years amid his ongoing legal limbo and frail health at age 74. A January 2026 ruling upheld his June 2025 New York sexual assault conviction—carrying up to 25 years—while rejecting a new trial bid, but a third rape retrial looms April 14, and his 2022 California 16-year rape sentence stands consecutive despite appeals. Recent maneuvers include a February legal team swap and March 10 Rikers Island interview decrying "hellish" isolation and failing health, fueling bets on pleas for concurrent time or compassionate release. Swing factors: retrial verdict, appeal outcomes, and medical fragility could tip toward lighter effective sentences versus stacked terms.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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