Trader consensus leans heavily against the FIFA World Cup 2026 Qualification Longshots Parlay resolving "Yes," with "No" at 62% implied probability, driven by the steep challenge of all underdogs advancing simultaneously from grueling confederation races. Recent qualifiers highlight vulnerabilities: in AFC, Indonesia and Vietnam faltered with losses to powerhouses like Japan and Australia, while Jordan's miracle run stalled amid defensive injuries; CONCACAF dark horses Jamaica and Trinidad & Tobago sit mid-table after draws against Mexico and slip-ups versus Honduras; OFC's New Zealand dominates locally but faces playoff gauntlet. Tough remaining fixtures, historical underperformance in intercontinental playoffs, and superior form from favorites like Saudi Arabia and Panama underscore why crowds see slim odds for the full parlay hitting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДа
NEW
NEW
Mar 31, 2026
Да
NEW
NEW
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if all Italy, Bolivia, and DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for one of these teams to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from their group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if all Italy, Bolivia, and DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for one of these teams to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from their group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).This market will resolve to "Yes" if all Italy, Bolivia, and DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for one of these teams to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from their group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).
If at any point it becomes impossible for one of these teams to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from their group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).
Открытие рынка: Nov 24, 2025, 11:32 AM ET
Объем
$662Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Nov 24, 2025, 11:32 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if all Italy, Bolivia, and DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for one of these teams to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from their group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if all Italy, Bolivia, and DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for one of these teams to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from their group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).This market will resolve to "Yes" if all Italy, Bolivia, and DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for one of these teams to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from their group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).
If at any point it becomes impossible for one of these teams to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from their group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).
Объем
$662Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Nov 24, 2025, 11:32 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus leans heavily against the FIFA World Cup 2026 Qualification Longshots Parlay resolving "Yes," with "No" at 62% implied probability, driven by the steep challenge of all underdogs advancing simultaneously from grueling confederation races. Recent qualifiers highlight vulnerabilities: in AFC, Indonesia and Vietnam faltered with losses to powerhouses like Japan and Australia, while Jordan's miracle run stalled amid defensive injuries; CONCACAF dark horses Jamaica and Trinidad & Tobago sit mid-table after draws against Mexico and slip-ups versus Honduras; OFC's New Zealand dominates locally but faces playoff gauntlet. Tough remaining fixtures, historical underperformance in intercontinental playoffs, and superior form from favorites like Saudi Arabia and Panama underscore why crowds see slim odds for the full parlay hitting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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