Democratic incumbent Ted Lieu maintains a commanding position in California's 36th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's entrenched Democratic registration advantage and historical voting patterns that have produced consistent double-digit margins. The district's coastal demographics and partisan lean have kept Republican challengers at a structural disadvantage, with primary filing lists showing multiple Democratic contenders but no competitive opposition that has shifted polling or fundraising dynamics. A recent federal funding announcement for local projects further underscores the incumbent's established record of delivering constituent services. While late-cycle events such as candidate health developments, major scandals, or unexpected national shifts could theoretically alter outcomes, the current trader consensus of 93 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with the district's long-standing electoral baseline and limited headroom for reversal before the top-two primary on June 2.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-36 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-36 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
93%
Республиканская партия
6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$5,296 Объем
93%
Республиканская партия
$4,386 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Ted Lieu maintains a commanding position in California's 36th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's entrenched Democratic registration advantage and historical voting patterns that have produced consistent double-digit margins. The district's coastal demographics and partisan lean have kept Republican challengers at a structural disadvantage, with primary filing lists showing multiple Democratic contenders but no competitive opposition that has shifted polling or fundraising dynamics. A recent federal funding announcement for local projects further underscores the incumbent's established record of delivering constituent services. While late-cycle events such as candidate health developments, major scandals, or unexpected national shifts could theoretically alter outcomes, the current trader consensus of 93 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with the district's long-standing electoral baseline and limited headroom for reversal before the top-two primary on June 2.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$9,683Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Ted Lieu maintains a commanding position in California's 36th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's entrenched Democratic registration advantage and historical voting patterns that have produced consistent double-digit margins. The district's coastal demographics and partisan lean have kept Republican challengers at a structural disadvantage, with primary filing lists showing multiple Democratic contenders but no competitive opposition that has shifted polling or fundraising dynamics. A recent federal funding announcement for local projects further underscores the incumbent's established record of delivering constituent services. While late-cycle events such as candidate health developments, major scandals, or unexpected national shifts could theoretically alter outcomes, the current trader consensus of 93 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with the district's long-standing electoral baseline and limited headroom for reversal before the top-two primary on June 2.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$9,683Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Ted Lieu maintains a commanding position in California's 36th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's entrenched Democratic registration advantage and historical voting patterns that have produced consistent double-digit margins. The district's coastal demographics and partisan lean have kept Republican challengers at a structural disadvantage, with primary filing lists showing multiple Democratic contenders but no competitive opposition that has shifted polling or fundraising dynamics. A recent federal funding announcement for local projects further underscores the incumbent's established record of delivering constituent services. While late-cycle events such as candidate health developments, major scandals, or unexpected national shifts could theoretically alter outcomes, the current trader consensus of 93 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with the district's long-standing electoral baseline and limited headroom for reversal before the top-two primary on June 2.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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