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Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 50¢

15,000.0 quotas

50¢

81.4¢

$12,202.50$4,702.50 (62.7%)

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 50¢

15,000.0 quotas

$12,202.50$4,702.50 (62.7%)

Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?

No 55.4¢

4,235.3 quotas

55.4¢

99.6¢

$4,216.20$1,871.20 (79.8%)

Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?

No 55.4¢

4,235.3 quotas

$4,216.20$1,871.20 (79.8%)

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 50¢

15,000.0 quotas

50¢

18.7¢

$2,797.50-$4,702.50 (-62.7%)

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 50¢

15,000.0 quotas

$2,797.50-$4,702.50 (-62.7%)

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

No 95.1¢

2,440.6 quotas

95.1¢

98.5¢

$2,402.73$82.20 (3.54%)

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

No 95.1¢

2,440.6 quotas

$2,402.73$82.20 (3.54%)

Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?

Yes 36.2¢

2,280.8 quotas

36.2¢

85¢

$1,938.71$1,113.72 (135%)

Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?

Yes 36.2¢

2,280.8 quotas

$1,938.71$1,113.72 (135%)

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

No 89¢

1,000.0 quotas

89¢

88.5¢

$885.01-$5.00 (-0.56%)

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

No 89¢

1,000.0 quotas

$885.01-$5.00 (-0.56%)

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 62¢

1,000.0 quotas

62¢

62.5¢

$625.01$5.00 (0.81%)

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 62¢

1,000.0 quotas

$625.01$5.00 (0.81%)

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 4.4¢

10,172.1 quotas

4.4¢

5.1¢

$523.86$75.91 (16.95%)

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 4.4¢

10,172.1 quotas

$523.86$75.91 (16.95%)

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

No 63¢

500.0 quotas

63¢

71.5¢

$357.50$42.50 (13.49%)

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

No 63¢

500.0 quotas

$357.50$42.50 (13.49%)

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by May 31, 2026?

Yes 29¢

499.9 quotas

29¢

33¢

$164.97$19.78 (13.62%)

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by May 31, 2026?

Yes 29¢

499.9 quotas

$164.97$19.78 (13.62%)

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?

No 97.4¢

150.0 quotas

97.4¢

99.1¢

$148.58$2.43 (1.66%)

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?

No 97.4¢

150.0 quotas

$148.58$2.43 (1.66%)

Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?

No 38.2¢

1,133.7 quotas

38.2¢

12.5¢

$141.71-$291.85 (-67.32%)

Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?

No 38.2¢

1,133.7 quotas

$141.71-$291.85 (-67.32%)

Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026?

No 9.3¢

1,985.6 quotas

9.3¢

6.7¢

$133.03-$51.68 (-27.98%)

Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026?

No 9.3¢

1,985.6 quotas

$133.03-$51.68 (-27.98%)

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 5.2¢

2,350.2 quotas

5.2¢

5.4¢

$125.74$3.53 (2.88%)

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 5.2¢

2,350.2 quotas

$125.74$3.53 (2.88%)

Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 0.6¢

13,480.0 quotas

0.6¢

0.7¢

$94.36$10.89 (13.05%)

Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 0.6¢

13,480.0 quotas

$94.36$10.89 (13.05%)

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Yes 16¢

300.0 quotas

16¢

17¢

$51.00$3.00 (6.25%)

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Yes 16¢

300.0 quotas

$51.00$3.00 (6.25%)

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

No 67¢

70.0 quotas

67¢

55.5¢

$38.84-$8.05 (-17.16%)

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

No 67¢

70.0 quotas

$38.84-$8.05 (-17.16%)

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 66¢

50.0 quotas

66¢

73.5¢

$36.75$3.75 (11.36%)

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 66¢

50.0 quotas

$36.75$3.75 (11.36%)

Will Figure's F.03 robots run between 50 and 100 hours without failure?

No 71.3¢

34.2 quotas

71.3¢

89¢

$30.46$6.05 (24.77%)

Will Figure's F.03 robots run between 50 and 100 hours without failure?

No 71.3¢

34.2 quotas

$30.46$6.05 (24.77%)

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 57¢

81.4 quotas

57¢

36.5¢

$29.71-$16.69 (-35.96%)

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 57¢

81.4 quotas

$29.71-$16.69 (-35.96%)