Trader consensus favors Merab Dvalishvili at 54% implied probability for Petr Yan's next bantamweight title defense, driven by mounting reports of a confirmed trilogy bout following their 1-1 series—Yan reclaimed the belt via unanimous decision in their December 2025 UFC 323 rematch. Dvalishvili's recent statements affirm both fighters are cleared post-injuries, with Yan resuming full training after January back surgery and targeting a summer return, potentially at International Fight Week. Sean O'Malley trails at 29% amid his vocal push for revenge after a prior win over Yan, bolstered by his recent victory over Song Yadong, while Umar Nurmagomedov garners 10% as a surging unbeaten contender eyeing top contention. Yan's recovery timeline and UFC matchmaking priorities shape the closely contested positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoMerab Dvalishvili 52%
Sean O’Malley 28.0%
Umar Nurmagomedov 6.4%
Payton Talbott 1.7%
$192,911 Vol.
$192,911 Vol.
Merab Dvalishvili
52%
Sean O’Malley
28%
Umar Nurmagomedov
10%
Payton Talbott
2%
Alexandre Pantoja
1%
Ricky Simón
1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
1%
Cory Sandhagen
<1%
Dominick Cruz
<1%
Rob Font
<1%
Pedro Munhoz
<1%
Alexander Volkanovski
<1%
Song Yadong
<1%
Henry Cejudo
<1%
Merab Dvalishvili 52%
Sean O’Malley 28.0%
Umar Nurmagomedov 6.4%
Payton Talbott 1.7%
$192,911 Vol.
$192,911 Vol.
Merab Dvalishvili
52%
Sean O’Malley
28%
Umar Nurmagomedov
10%
Payton Talbott
2%
Alexandre Pantoja
1%
Ricky Simón
1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
1%
Cory Sandhagen
<1%
Dominick Cruz
<1%
Rob Font
<1%
Pedro Munhoz
<1%
Alexander Volkanovski
<1%
Song Yadong
<1%
Henry Cejudo
<1%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 8, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Merab Dvalishvili at 54% implied probability for Petr Yan's next bantamweight title defense, driven by mounting reports of a confirmed trilogy bout following their 1-1 series—Yan reclaimed the belt via unanimous decision in their December 2025 UFC 323 rematch. Dvalishvili's recent statements affirm both fighters are cleared post-injuries, with Yan resuming full training after January back surgery and targeting a summer return, potentially at International Fight Week. Sean O'Malley trails at 29% amid his vocal push for revenge after a prior win over Yan, bolstered by his recent victory over Song Yadong, while Umar Nurmagomedov garners 10% as a surging unbeaten contender eyeing top contention. Yan's recovery timeline and UFC matchmaking priorities shape the closely contested positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions