Trader consensus heavily favors Petr Yan at 59% implied probability for Merab Dvalishvili's next UFC bantamweight bout, driven by the Georgian's repeated public insistence on a trilogy following their 1-1 series—Dvalishvili's 2023 decision win over Yan, reversed by Yan's December 2025 title-capturing victory at UFC 323. Recent March interviews, including with Ariel Helwani, confirm Dvalishvili is waiting specifically for the rubber match despite a fresh broken nose injury delaying his return. Umar Nurmagomedov (33%) gains traction as a top-ranked contender with prior feud history, while Sean O'Malley (31%) lingers due to their prior title clash. Dvalishvili's April 18 RAF wrestling match against Henry Cejudo adds short-term uncertainty to UFC scheduling.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoPetr Yan 59%
Song Yadong 46.0%
Umar Nurmagomedov 32.9%
Alexandre Pantoja 2.3%
$11,309 Vol.
$11,309 Vol.
Petr Yan
59%
Song Yadong
23%
Umar Nurmagomedov
33%
Alexandre Pantoja
2%
Ricky Simón
1%
Payton Talbott
1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
1%
Cory Sandhagen
<1%
Aiemann Zahabi
<1%
Pedro Munhoz
<1%
Alexander Volkanovski
18%
Rob Font
33%
Sean O'Malley
26%
Petr Yan 59%
Song Yadong 46.0%
Umar Nurmagomedov 32.9%
Alexandre Pantoja 2.3%
$11,309 Vol.
$11,309 Vol.
Petr Yan
59%
Song Yadong
23%
Umar Nurmagomedov
33%
Alexandre Pantoja
2%
Ricky Simón
1%
Payton Talbott
1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
1%
Cory Sandhagen
<1%
Aiemann Zahabi
<1%
Pedro Munhoz
<1%
Alexander Volkanovski
18%
Rob Font
33%
Sean O'Malley
26%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 8, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Petr Yan at 59% implied probability for Merab Dvalishvili's next UFC bantamweight bout, driven by the Georgian's repeated public insistence on a trilogy following their 1-1 series—Dvalishvili's 2023 decision win over Yan, reversed by Yan's December 2025 title-capturing victory at UFC 323. Recent March interviews, including with Ariel Helwani, confirm Dvalishvili is waiting specifically for the rubber match despite a fresh broken nose injury delaying his return. Umar Nurmagomedov (33%) gains traction as a top-ranked contender with prior feud history, while Sean O'Malley (31%) lingers due to their prior title clash. Dvalishvili's April 18 RAF wrestling match against Henry Cejudo adds short-term uncertainty to UFC scheduling.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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