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MéDio Prazo previsões e probabilidades

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Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

54%

Republican Party

$3M Vol.

$443K Liq.

65

Ends em 5 meses

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

81%

Democratic Party

$7M Vol.

$94.5K today

$543K Liq.

1

Ends em 5 meses

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

28%

≤47

$3M Vol.

$271K Liq.

8

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

30%

22–23

$670K Vol.

$77.3K Liq.

4

Ends em 5 meses

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

30%

Below 190

$247K Vol.

$157K Liq.

2

Ends em 5 meses

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

92%

$169K Vol.

$46.2K Liq.

19

Ends em 7 meses

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

97%

North Carolina

$282K Vol.

$273K Liq.

5

Ends em 5 meses

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

44%

130m+

$7.3K Vol.

$47.9K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

17%

Democrats 8-10%

$44.8K Vol.

$267K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?

Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?

25%

$13.7K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

4%

$136K Vol.

$56.1K Liq.

9

Ends em 5 meses

Speaker of the House after the midterms?

Speaker of the House after the midterms?

79%

Hakeem Jeffries

$1.7K Vol.

$21.6K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

5%

$61.8K Vol.

$20.2K Liq.

21

Ends em 5 meses

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

47%

Democrats Sweep

$7M Vol.

$827K Liq.

201

Ends em 5 meses

MT-02 House Election Winner

MT-02 House Election Winner

92%

Republican Party

$11.4K Vol.

$34.1K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

MS-02 House Election Winner

MS-02 House Election Winner

85%

Democratic Party

$24.1K Vol.

$30.4K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

OR-02 House Election Winner

OR-02 House Election Winner

91%

Republican Party

$4.1K Vol.

$30.8K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

MO-02 House Election Winner

MO-02 House Election Winner

78%

Republican Party

$5.3K Vol.

$20.3K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

OR-06 House Election Winner

OR-06 House Election Winner

94%

Democratic Party

$16.9K Vol.

$17.1K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

SC-02 House Election Winner

SC-02 House Election Winner

80%

Republican Party

$31.7K Vol.

$28.1K Liq.

1

Ends em 5 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like MéDio Prazo.

Polymarket currently hosts 610 active markets for MéDio Prazo that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which party will win the Senate in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $20.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 47% chance to Democrats Sweep. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on MéDio Prazo predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.