Trader consensus prices "No" at 90.5% for US annexation of any territory in 2026, driven by insurmountable diplomatic, legal, and political barriers despite President Trump's early-year rhetoric on acquiring Greenland and vague references to Canada or others. A January congressional bill, the Greenland Annexation and Statehood Act (H.R.7012), authorized presidential steps but stalled amid Danish rejections, a counter Greenland Sovereignty Protection Act, and international law prohibiting forceful territorial grabs post-occupation. No negotiations advanced at Davos talks or elsewhere, with historical precedents like failed 2019-2020 Greenland bids underscoring feasibility issues. Late-breaking diplomacy, military escalation, or unlikely Senate ratification could shift odds, but traders see slim paths forward by year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoSim
$19,478 Vol.
$19,478 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
$19,478 Vol.
$19,478 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 90.5% for US annexation of any territory in 2026, driven by insurmountable diplomatic, legal, and political barriers despite President Trump's early-year rhetoric on acquiring Greenland and vague references to Canada or others. A January congressional bill, the Greenland Annexation and Statehood Act (H.R.7012), authorized presidential steps but stalled amid Danish rejections, a counter Greenland Sovereignty Protection Act, and international law prohibiting forceful territorial grabs post-occupation. No negotiations advanced at Davos talks or elsewhere, with historical precedents like failed 2019-2020 Greenland bids underscoring feasibility issues. Late-breaking diplomacy, military escalation, or unlikely Senate ratification could shift odds, but traders see slim paths forward by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
Volume
$19,478Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 90.5% for US annexation of any territory in 2026, driven by insurmountable diplomatic, legal, and political barriers despite President Trump's early-year rhetoric on acquiring Greenland and vague references to Canada or others. A January congressional bill, the Greenland Annexation and Statehood Act (H.R.7012), authorized presidential steps but stalled amid Danish rejections, a counter Greenland Sovereignty Protection Act, and international law prohibiting forceful territorial grabs post-occupation. No negotiations advanced at Davos talks or elsewhere, with historical precedents like failed 2019-2020 Greenland bids underscoring feasibility issues. Late-breaking diplomacy, military escalation, or unlikely Senate ratification could shift odds, but traders see slim paths forward by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$19,478Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 90.5% for US annexation of any territory in 2026, driven by insurmountable diplomatic, legal, and political barriers despite President Trump's early-year rhetoric on acquiring Greenland and vague references to Canada or others. A January congressional bill, the Greenland Annexation and Statehood Act (H.R.7012), authorized presidential steps but stalled amid Danish rejections, a counter Greenland Sovereignty Protection Act, and international law prohibiting forceful territorial grabs post-occupation. No negotiations advanced at Davos talks or elsewhere, with historical precedents like failed 2019-2020 Greenland bids underscoring feasibility issues. Late-breaking diplomacy, military escalation, or unlikely Senate ratification could shift odds, but traders see slim paths forward by year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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