White House confirmation of President Trump's rescheduled Beijing summit with Xi Jinping for mid-May, delayed from March amid the U.S.-Iran conflict, drives trader consensus toward May 13 at 54.5% as the likely arrival date, outpacing May 14 at 20.0% based on recent reports hinting at a May 13-14 itinerary. Escalating tensions—including April 29 disclosures of China's $1.2 trillion rare earths leverage, U.S. sanctions on Chinese firms tied to Iran oil, and Tehran's depleting storage capacity under the Strait of Hormuz blockade—elevate "No visit by May 31" to 22.5%, reflecting delay risks if diplomacy falters before the trade, AI, and regional stability talks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoWill Trump visit China on...?
Will Trump visit China on...?
May 13 39%
May 14 26%
No visit by May 31 23%
May 15 7.3%
NOVO
$80,346 Vol.
NOVO
$80,346 Vol.
31 mai 2026
On or prior to May 1
<1%
May 2
<1%
May 3
<1%
May 4
<1%
May 5
<1%
May 6
<1%
May 7
<1%
May 8
1%
May 9
1%
May 10
<1%
May 11
<1%
May 12
<1%
May 13
39%
May 14
26%
May 15
8%
May 16
<1%
May 17
<1%
May 18
1%
May 19
1%
May 20
1%
May 21
1%
May 22
1%
May 23
<1%
May 24
<1%
May 25
<1%
May 26
1%
May 27
<1%
May 28
<1%
May 29
<1%
May 30
1%
May 31
1%
No visit by May 31
23%
May 13 39%
May 14 26%
No visit by May 31 23%
May 15 7.3%
NOVO
$80,346 Vol.
NOVO
$80,346 Vol.
31 mai 2026
On or prior to May 1
$5,312 Vol.
<1%
May 2
$1,972 Vol.
<1%
May 3
$1,970 Vol.
<1%
May 4
$2,125 Vol.
<1%
May 5
$1,978 Vol.
<1%
May 6
$1,978 Vol.
<1%
May 7
$1,991 Vol.
<1%
May 8
$2,333 Vol.
1%
May 9
$1,909 Vol.
1%
May 10
$1,589 Vol.
<1%
May 11
$1,712 Vol.
<1%
May 12
$1,936 Vol.
<1%
May 13
$9,325 Vol.
39%
May 14
$4,266 Vol.
26%
May 15
$4,473 Vol.
8%
May 16
$2,677 Vol.
<1%
May 17
$1,851 Vol.
<1%
May 18
$1,864 Vol.
1%
May 19
$2,139 Vol.
1%
May 20
$2,463 Vol.
1%
May 21
$2,046 Vol.
1%
May 22
$1,903 Vol.
1%
May 23
$1,734 Vol.
<1%
May 24
$1,661 Vol.
<1%
May 25
$1,722 Vol.
<1%
May 26
$1,848 Vol.
1%
May 27
$1,650 Vol.
<1%
May 28
$1,700 Vol.
<1%
May 29
$1,660 Vol.
<1%
May 30
$1,903 Vol.
1%
May 31
$1,820 Vol.
1%
No visit by May 31
$4,862 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which U.S. President Donald Trump next visits China.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.White House confirmation of President Trump's rescheduled Beijing summit with Xi Jinping for mid-May, delayed from March amid the U.S.-Iran conflict, drives trader consensus toward May 13 at 54.5% as the likely arrival date, outpacing May 14 at 20.0% based on recent reports hinting at a May 13-14 itinerary. Escalating tensions—including April 29 disclosures of China's $1.2 trillion rare earths leverage, U.S. sanctions on Chinese firms tied to Iran oil, and Tehran's depleting storage capacity under the Strait of Hormuz blockade—elevate "No visit by May 31" to 22.5%, reflecting delay risks if diplomacy falters before the trade, AI, and regional stability talks.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which U.S. President Donald Trump next visits China.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 27, 2026, 3:29 PM ET
Volume
$80,346Data de Término
31 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 27, 2026, 3:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which U.S. President Donald Trump next visits China.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.White House confirmation of President Trump's rescheduled Beijing summit with Xi Jinping for mid-May, delayed from March amid the U.S.-Iran conflict, drives trader consensus toward May 13 at 54.5% as the likely arrival date, outpacing May 14 at 20.0% based on recent reports hinting at a May 13-14 itinerary. Escalating tensions—including April 29 disclosures of China's $1.2 trillion rare earths leverage, U.S. sanctions on Chinese firms tied to Iran oil, and Tehran's depleting storage capacity under the Strait of Hormuz blockade—elevate "No visit by May 31" to 22.5%, reflecting delay risks if diplomacy falters before the trade, AI, and regional stability talks.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which U.S. President Donald Trump next visits China.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$80,346Data de Término
31 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 27, 2026, 3:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...White House confirmation of President Trump's rescheduled Beijing summit with Xi Jinping for mid-May, delayed from March amid the U.S.-Iran conflict, drives trader consensus toward May 13 at 54.5% as the likely arrival date, outpacing May 14 at 20.0% based on recent reports hinting at a May 13-14 itinerary. Escalating tensions—including April 29 disclosures of China's $1.2 trillion rare earths leverage, U.S. sanctions on Chinese firms tied to Iran oil, and Tehran's depleting storage capacity under the Strait of Hormuz blockade—elevate "No visit by May 31" to 22.5%, reflecting delay risks if diplomacy falters before the trade, AI, and regional stability talks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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