Ongoing US-mediated trilateral talks between Ukraine, Russia, and Washington have advanced frameworks for a ceasefire but remain stalled over territorial concessions and enforcement mechanisms, with trader consensus reflecting low near-term probability of Ukrainian agreement. President Zelenskiy recently pitched an Easter truce offer via US envoys like Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner on March 31, signaling openness if Russia halts energy strikes, while affirming support for prior US proposals including security guarantees. However, a March 25 Reuters report revealed US conditions tying guarantees to Kyiv ceding all of Donbas, a demand Zelenskiy rejected amid continued frontline clashes and postponed rounds due to Middle East escalations. Upcoming Easter discussions and POW exchanges could catalyze progress, though persistent Russian advances sustain uncertainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoA Ucrânia concorda oficialmente com uma estrutura de cessar-fogo apoiada pelos EUA até...?
A Ucrânia concorda oficialmente com uma estrutura de cessar-fogo apoiada pelos EUA até...?
$1,508,972 Vol.
30 de junho
8%
$1,508,972 Vol.
30 de junho
8%
A qualifying peace framework is any publicly announced plan, roadmap, or framework intended as the basis for ending the war, provided that the United States formally endorses it and Ukraine officially agrees to it through one of the following:
1. A written or signed framework-related instrument issued or signed by Ukraine that affirms agreement with the U.S.-endorsed framework.
2. An official U.S.–Ukraine announcement — defined as an official government-issued declaration, such as a joint statement, communiqué, or coordinated official releases, explicitly stating that Ukraine has agreed to a U.S.-endorsed peace framework. The announcement must be issued through authorized government channels, including official written releases or formally published transcripts by the White House, State Department, Office of the President of Ukraine, Cabinet of Ministers, or Ministry of Foreign Affairs. Verbal (including interviews or remarks during bilateral meetings) and social-media claims by either leader will not qualify unless later issued in an official written or published form by the respective government. The U.S. President or any US government official publicly stating that “an agreement has been reached,” without a corresponding formal release or communiqué, will not qualify; the same applies to statements by the Ukrainian President or Ukrainian officials.
3. A formally issued Ukrainian governmental action — including a presidential decree, Cabinet resolution, or National Security and Defense Council decision — explicitly stating that Ukraine agrees to the U.S.-endorsed framework.
The primary resolution source will be official government documents, statements, decrees, and credible reporting confirming that Ukraine officially agreed to a U.S.-endorsed peace framework under the standards above.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 3, 2026, 10:26 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying peace framework is any publicly announced plan, roadmap, or framework intended as the basis for ending the war, provided that the United States formally endorses it and Ukraine officially agrees to it through one of the following:
1. A written or signed framework-related instrument issued or signed by Ukraine that affirms agreement with the U.S.-endorsed framework.
2. An official U.S.–Ukraine announcement — defined as an official government-issued declaration, such as a joint statement, communiqué, or coordinated official releases, explicitly stating that Ukraine has agreed to a U.S.-endorsed peace framework. The announcement must be issued through authorized government channels, including official written releases or formally published transcripts by the White House, State Department, Office of the President of Ukraine, Cabinet of Ministers, or Ministry of Foreign Affairs. Verbal (including interviews or remarks during bilateral meetings) and social-media claims by either leader will not qualify unless later issued in an official written or published form by the respective government. The U.S. President or any US government official publicly stating that “an agreement has been reached,” without a corresponding formal release or communiqué, will not qualify; the same applies to statements by the Ukrainian President or Ukrainian officials.
3. A formally issued Ukrainian governmental action — including a presidential decree, Cabinet resolution, or National Security and Defense Council decision — explicitly stating that Ukraine agrees to the U.S.-endorsed framework.
The primary resolution source will be official government documents, statements, decrees, and credible reporting confirming that Ukraine officially agreed to a U.S.-endorsed peace framework under the standards above.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-mediated trilateral talks between Ukraine, Russia, and Washington have advanced frameworks for a ceasefire but remain stalled over territorial concessions and enforcement mechanisms, with trader consensus reflecting low near-term probability of Ukrainian agreement. President Zelenskiy recently pitched an Easter truce offer via US envoys like Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner on March 31, signaling openness if Russia halts energy strikes, while affirming support for prior US proposals including security guarantees. However, a March 25 Reuters report revealed US conditions tying guarantees to Kyiv ceding all of Donbas, a demand Zelenskiy rejected amid continued frontline clashes and postponed rounds due to Middle East escalations. Upcoming Easter discussions and POW exchanges could catalyze progress, though persistent Russian advances sustain uncertainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions