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Mundo·Assuntos Mundiais

A eleição antecipada da Espanha convocada por...?

Market icon
Mundo·Assuntos Mundiais

A eleição antecipada da Espanha convocada por...?

dez 31, 2025

dez 31

dez 31, 2025

dez 31

$133,216 Vol.

31 dez 2025
Polymarket

$133,216 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de junho de 2026

$39,718 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's minority PSOE-led coalition faces mounting pressure from corruption scandals—including the ongoing Koldo case implicating party officials in COVID-19 procurement fraud, probes into Sánchez's wife Begoña Gómez and brother David for influence-peddling—and recent regional election defeats, such as heavy losses in Extremadura (December 2025) and Aragon (February 2026, where conservatives triumphed with far-right Vox support). Despite opposition calls for a no-confidence vote or snap general election, Sánchez has explicitly ruled out early polls before the scheduled 2027 contest, citing stability needs amid coalition tensions with Sumar and regional parties like Junts and ERC. Traders weigh these vulnerabilities against Sánchez's control over dissolution timing; upcoming 2026 regional votes in Andalusia and elsewhere, plus budget negotiations, could escalate risks of parliamentary deadlock or procedural triggers for snap elections.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$133,216
Data de Término
31 dez 2025
Mercado Aberto
Oct 22, 2025, 11:43 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's minority PSOE-led coalition faces mounting pressure from corruption scandals—including the ongoing Koldo case implicating party officials in COVID-19 procurement fraud, probes into Sánchez's wife Begoña Gómez and brother David for influence-peddling—and recent regional election defeats, such as heavy losses in Extremadura (December 2025) and Aragon (February 2026, where conservatives triumphed with far-right Vox support). Despite opposition calls for a no-confidence vote or snap general election, Sánchez has explicitly ruled out early polls before the scheduled 2027 contest, citing stability needs amid coalition tensions with Sumar and regional parties like Junts and ERC. Traders weigh these vulnerabilities against Sánchez's control over dissolution timing; upcoming 2026 regional votes in Andalusia and elsewhere, plus budget negotiations, could escalate risks of parliamentary deadlock or procedural triggers for snap elections.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$133,216
Data de Término
31 dez 2025
Mercado Aberto
Oct 22, 2025, 11:43 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"A eleição antecipada da Espanha convocada por...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "30 de junho de 2026" at 7%, followed by "31 de dezembro de 2025" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 7¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 7% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "A eleição antecipada da Espanha convocada por...?" has generated $133.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 28, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "A eleição antecipada da Espanha convocada por...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "A eleição antecipada da Espanha convocada por...?" is "30 de junho de 2026" at just 7%, with "31 de dezembro de 2025" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "A eleição antecipada da Espanha convocada por...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.