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icon for A eleição antecipada da Espanha convocada por...?

A eleição antecipada da Espanha convocada por...?

icon for A eleição antecipada da Espanha convocada por...?

A eleição antecipada da Espanha convocada por...?

$175,206 Vol.

31 dez 2025
Polymarket

$175,206 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de junho de 2026

$81,708 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain's minority coalition government under Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez faces mounting pressure from corruption investigations involving party allies and family members, alongside a series of regional election losses that have strengthened the opposition Popular Party (PP) and Vox. Recent Andalusian and other regional votes in 2026 showed PP gains and reinforced a rightward shift, while polls indicate PP support near 32% compared with PSOE at 27%. Sánchez has repeatedly rejected early elections and committed to serving the full term through the scheduled general election no later than August 2027, citing the prerogative to dissolve parliament only under specific conditions. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over budget negotiations, Junts parliamentary support, and whether scandals could force a no-confidence vote or strategic dissolution before year-end, balanced against the government's stated intent to avoid a snap contest.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$175,206
Data de Término
31 dez 2025
Mercado Aberto
Oct 22, 2025, 11:43 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain's minority coalition government under Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez faces mounting pressure from corruption investigations involving party allies and family members, alongside a series of regional election losses that have strengthened the opposition Popular Party (PP) and Vox. Recent Andalusian and other regional votes in 2026 showed PP gains and reinforced a rightward shift, while polls indicate PP support near 32% compared with PSOE at 27%. Sánchez has repeatedly rejected early elections and committed to serving the full term through the scheduled general election no later than August 2027, citing the prerogative to dissolve parliament only under specific conditions. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over budget negotiations, Junts parliamentary support, and whether scandals could force a no-confidence vote or strategic dissolution before year-end, balanced against the government's stated intent to avoid a snap contest.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$175,206
Data de Término
31 dez 2025
Mercado Aberto
Oct 22, 2025, 11:43 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"A eleição antecipada da Espanha convocada por...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "30 de junho de 2026" at 4%, followed by "31 de dezembro de 2025" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 4¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 4% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "A eleição antecipada da Espanha convocada por...?" has generated $175.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 28, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "A eleição antecipada da Espanha convocada por...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "A eleição antecipada da Espanha convocada por...?" is "30 de junho de 2026" at just 4%, with "31 de dezembro de 2025" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "A eleição antecipada da Espanha convocada por...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.