Market icon

A pessoa mais rica em 31 de dezembro de 2026?

Market icon

A pessoa mais rica em 31 de dezembro de 2026?

dez 31

dez 31

Elon Musk 91%

Jeff Bezos 2.3%

Jensen Huang 1.9%

Larry Page 1.4%

Polymarket

$1,332,178 Vol.

Elon Musk 91%

Jeff Bezos 2.3%

Jensen Huang 1.9%

Larry Page 1.4%

Polymarket

$1,332,178 Vol.

Market icon

Elon Musk

$108,143 Vol.

91%

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Jeff Bezos

$293,384 Vol.

2%

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Jensen Huang

$117,084 Vol.

2%

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Larry Page

$115,316 Vol.

1%

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Mark Zuckerberg

$112,218 Vol.

1%

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Warren Buffett

$45,409 Vol.

1%

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Steve Ballmer

$255,396 Vol.

1%

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Bernard Arnault

$224,824 Vol.

1%

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Sergey Brin

$23,559 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Larry Ellison

$36,845 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader consensus heavily favors Elon Musk as the frontrunner to remain the world's richest person by December 31, 2026, with market-implied odds at 90.5%, reflecting his unprecedented $839 billion net worth atop the Forbes 2026 Billionaires List released March 10. This commanding lead—more than triple that of second-place Larry Page at $257 billion—stems from explosive gains in Tesla stock and SpaceX's surging valuation amid Starlink expansion and xAI integrations, adding nearly $500 billion to Musk's fortune over the past year. Recent momentum includes a $24 billion wealth jump in early 2026 trading days. Upsets could arise from Tesla volatility, regulatory hurdles, or AI boom propelling Nvidia's Jensen Huang (1.9%) or Amazon recovery for Jeff Bezos (2.3%), though historical tech dominance and nine months of projected growth solidify the strong positioning.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volume
$1,332,178
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 12, 2025, 5:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader consensus heavily favors Elon Musk as the frontrunner to remain the world's richest person by December 31, 2026, with market-implied odds at 90.5%, reflecting his unprecedented $839 billion net worth atop the Forbes 2026 Billionaires List released March 10. This commanding lead—more than triple that of second-place Larry Page at $257 billion—stems from explosive gains in Tesla stock and SpaceX's surging valuation amid Starlink expansion and xAI integrations, adding nearly $500 billion to Musk's fortune over the past year. Recent momentum includes a $24 billion wealth jump in early 2026 trading days. Upsets could arise from Tesla volatility, regulatory hurdles, or AI boom propelling Nvidia's Jensen Huang (1.9%) or Amazon recovery for Jeff Bezos (2.3%), though historical tech dominance and nine months of projected growth solidify the strong positioning.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volume
$1,332,178
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 12, 2025, 5:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"A pessoa mais rica em 31 de dezembro de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Elon Musk" at 91%, followed by "Jeff Bezos" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 91¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "A pessoa mais rica em 31 de dezembro de 2026?" has generated $1.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "A pessoa mais rica em 31 de dezembro de 2026?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "A pessoa mais rica em 31 de dezembro de 2026?" is "Elon Musk" at 91%, meaning the market assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jeff Bezos" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "A pessoa mais rica em 31 de dezembro de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.