Polymarket traders assign a 58% implied probability to the $2.25–2.50/dozen range for the BLS U.S. city average retail price of Grade A large eggs in March 2026, consolidating sentiment around February's $2.50 reading amid sustained supply recovery from highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI). USDA's March 27 Egg Markets Overview reported national advertised prices plunging to $1.80/dozen—the 2026 low—while wholesale loose eggs traded below $0.60/dozen, reflecting a 42% year-over-year retail drop and February egg production up 5%. HPAI detections fell 11% year-to-date versus 2025, easing supply constraints. Odds favor modest further softening before stabilization, with resolution hinging on the April 10 BLS CPI release.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoPrice of Dozen Eggs in March?
Price of Dozen Eggs in March?
$2.25–2.50 58%
$2.50–2.75 26%
$2.00–2.25 6.0%
$2.75–3.00 2.9%
$388,289 Vol.
$388,289 Vol.
<$2.00
2%
$2.00–2.25
6%
$2.25–2.50
58%
$2.50–2.75
26%
$2.75–3.00
3%
$3.00–3.25
1%
$3.25–3.50
<1%
$3.50–3.75
2%
$3.75–4.00
<1%
≥$4.00
<1%
$2.25–2.50 58%
$2.50–2.75 26%
$2.00–2.25 6.0%
$2.75–3.00 2.9%
$388,289 Vol.
$388,289 Vol.
<$2.00
2%
$2.00–2.25
6%
$2.25–2.50
58%
$2.50–2.75
26%
$2.75–3.00
3%
$3.00–3.25
1%
$3.25–3.50
<1%
$3.50–3.75
2%
$3.75–4.00
<1%
≥$4.00
<1%
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The March release is presently scheduled for April 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 11, 2026, 1:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The March release is presently scheduled for April 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders assign a 58% implied probability to the $2.25–2.50/dozen range for the BLS U.S. city average retail price of Grade A large eggs in March 2026, consolidating sentiment around February's $2.50 reading amid sustained supply recovery from highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI). USDA's March 27 Egg Markets Overview reported national advertised prices plunging to $1.80/dozen—the 2026 low—while wholesale loose eggs traded below $0.60/dozen, reflecting a 42% year-over-year retail drop and February egg production up 5%. HPAI detections fell 11% year-to-date versus 2025, easing supply constraints. Odds favor modest further softening before stabilization, with resolution hinging on the April 10 BLS CPI release.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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