Trader consensus has locked in 5,000-5,500 delayed US flights for April 10 at virtually 100% implied probability, driven by FlightAware's official tally of 5,080 delays within, into, or out of the United States—released overnight and aligning precisely with this bin. The FAA's daily air traffic report had flagged potential disruptions from high winds at key hubs including Boston Logan (BOS), New York-area airports (EWR, JFK, LGA), Orlando (MCO), Denver (DEN), and Las Vegas (LAS), but actual impacts stayed moderate amid lighter-than-expected weather effects compared to earlier April storms topping 5,600 delays. This commanding position reflects finalized tracking data, though minor revisions from DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports or FAA OPSNET could theoretically shift the count if late-filing discrepancies emerge.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado5,000-5,500 100.0%
<4,000 <1%
4,000-4,500 <1%
4,500-5,000 <1%
$14,161 Vol.
$14,161 Vol.
<4,000
No
4,000-4,500
No
4,500-5,000
No
5,000-5,500
Yes
5,500-6,000
No
6,000-6,500
No
6,500-7,000
No
>7,000
No
5,000-5,500 100.0%
<4,000 <1%
4,000-4,500 <1%
4,500-5,000 <1%
$14,161 Vol.
$14,161 Vol.
<4,000
No
4,000-4,500
No
4,500-5,000
No
5,000-5,500
Yes
5,500-6,000
No
6,000-6,500
No
6,500-7,000
No
>7,000
No
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 8, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus has locked in 5,000-5,500 delayed US flights for April 10 at virtually 100% implied probability, driven by FlightAware's official tally of 5,080 delays within, into, or out of the United States—released overnight and aligning precisely with this bin. The FAA's daily air traffic report had flagged potential disruptions from high winds at key hubs including Boston Logan (BOS), New York-area airports (EWR, JFK, LGA), Orlando (MCO), Denver (DEN), and Las Vegas (LAS), but actual impacts stayed moderate amid lighter-than-expected weather effects compared to earlier April storms topping 5,600 delays. This commanding position reflects finalized tracking data, though minor revisions from DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports or FAA OPSNET could theoretically shift the count if late-filing discrepancies emerge.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions