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When will the DHS shutdown end?

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When will the DHS shutdown end?

May 18-24 19%

April 27-May 3 16.4%

After July 31 13%

May 25-31 10%

Polymarket
NOVO

May 18-24 19%

April 27-May 3 16.4%

After July 31 13%

May 25-31 10%

Polymarket
NOVO

April 20-26

$1,338 Vol.

2%

April 27-May 3

$829 Vol.

16%

May 4-10

$92 Vol.

5%

May 11-17

$100 Vol.

4%

May 18-24

$1,273 Vol.

19%

May 25-31

$138 Vol.

10%

June 1-7

$112 Vol.

6%

June 8-14

$64 Vol.

2%

June 15-21

$154 Vol.

3%

June 22-28

$64 Vol.

3%

June 29-July 5

$87 Vol.

3%

July 6-12

$77 Vol.

3%

July 13-19

$87 Vol.

4%

July 20-26

$91 Vol.

4%

July 27-31

$127 Vol.

4%

After July 31

$228 Vol.

13%

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The DHS partial government shutdown, now in its 70th day since February 14 and the longest in U.S. history, stems from partisan disputes over appropriations for Immigration and Customs Enforcement and Customs and Border Protection reforms, stalling funding bills despite Senate passage of stop-gap measures for other components like TSA and FEMA. Senate Republicans' 50-48 budget resolution approval early April 23 advances reconciliation to bypass filibuster and provide multi-year ICE and CBP funding, intensifying pressure on House Speaker Johnson amid warnings of exhausted employee pay authority in May and operational strains including cyber gaps at CISA and Coast Guard backlogs. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty in House timeline for parallel action or floor votes, keeping May 18-24 and April 27-May 3 closely contested; a swift House budget passage or bipartisan continuing resolution could accelerate resolution, while procedural delays might extend it.

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026.

The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$6,192
Data de Término
31 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 16, 2026, 7:57 PM ET
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The DHS partial government shutdown, now in its 70th day since February 14 and the longest in U.S. history, stems from partisan disputes over appropriations for Immigration and Customs Enforcement and Customs and Border Protection reforms, stalling funding bills despite Senate passage of stop-gap measures for other components like TSA and FEMA. Senate Republicans' 50-48 budget resolution approval early April 23 advances reconciliation to bypass filibuster and provide multi-year ICE and CBP funding, intensifying pressure on House Speaker Johnson amid warnings of exhausted employee pay authority in May and operational strains including cyber gaps at CISA and Coast Guard backlogs. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty in House timeline for parallel action or floor votes, keeping May 18-24 and April 27-May 3 closely contested; a swift House budget passage or bipartisan continuing resolution could accelerate resolution, while procedural delays might extend it.

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026.

The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$6,192
Data de Término
31 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 16, 2026, 7:57 PM ET
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"When will the DHS shutdown end?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "May 18-24" at 19%, followed by "April 27-May 3" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 19¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"When will the DHS shutdown end?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "When will the DHS shutdown end?," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "When will the DHS shutdown end?" is "May 18-24" at 19%, meaning the market assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "April 27-May 3" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "When will the DHS shutdown end?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.