Trader consensus on Polymarket has coalesced at 100% implied probability for 2.6M-2.8M TSA checkpoint passengers on April 10, 2026, following the official Transportation Security Administration data release confirming throughput squarely within this range—consistent with weekday patterns like April 9's 2.691 million and April 3's 2.660 million screened. This strong positioning reflects sustained U.S. air travel demand amid stable consumer spending and post-spring break normalization, where real-capital wagers aggregate to wisdom-of-crowds precision on economic indicators. Realistic challenges are limited to rare TSA data revisions, as historical precedents show minimal post-release adjustments; traders eye upcoming daily TSA figures for continued volume trends influencing broader travel sector sentiment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado2.6M-2.8M 100.0%
<2.2M <1%
2.2M-2.4M <1%
2.4M-2.6M <1%
$14,863 Vol.
$14,863 Vol.
<2.2M
No
2.2M-2.4M
No
2.4M-2.6M
No
2.6M-2.8M
Yes
2.8M-3.0M
No
>3.0M
No
2.6M-2.8M 100.0%
<2.2M <1%
2.2M-2.4M <1%
2.4M-2.6M <1%
$14,863 Vol.
$14,863 Vol.
<2.2M
No
2.2M-2.4M
No
2.4M-2.6M
No
2.6M-2.8M
Yes
2.8M-3.0M
No
>3.0M
No
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has coalesced at 100% implied probability for 2.6M-2.8M TSA checkpoint passengers on April 10, 2026, following the official Transportation Security Administration data release confirming throughput squarely within this range—consistent with weekday patterns like April 9's 2.691 million and April 3's 2.660 million screened. This strong positioning reflects sustained U.S. air travel demand amid stable consumer spending and post-spring break normalization, where real-capital wagers aggregate to wisdom-of-crowds precision on economic indicators. Realistic challenges are limited to rare TSA data revisions, as historical precedents show minimal post-release adjustments; traders eye upcoming daily TSA figures for continued volume trends influencing broader travel sector sentiment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions