Anthropic’s explosive valuation trajectory, marked by successive funding rounds that lifted its post-money valuation from $183 billion in September 2025 to $380 billion in February 2026 and now toward potential levels above $900 billion, underpins the 95% market-implied probability that it will exceed OpenAI’s latest $852 billion mark by year-end 2026. Strong institutional demand, including commitments from major cloud providers and sovereign funds, has outpaced OpenAI’s recent $122 billion raise, while Anthropic’s revenue run-rate projections and multi-platform model availability reinforce investor appetite for sustained outperformance. Upcoming IPO timelines for both firms and any additional mega-rounds remain key swing factors, though a material slowdown in Anthropic’s execution or a decisive OpenAI capital infusion could still narrow the gap.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$86,516 Vol.
$86,516 Vol.
31 dez 2026
$86,516 Vol.
$86,516 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Anthropic’s explosive valuation trajectory, marked by successive funding rounds that lifted its post-money valuation from $183 billion in September 2025 to $380 billion in February 2026 and now toward potential levels above $900 billion, underpins the 95% market-implied probability that it will exceed OpenAI’s latest $852 billion mark by year-end 2026. Strong institutional demand, including commitments from major cloud providers and sovereign funds, has outpaced OpenAI’s recent $122 billion raise, while Anthropic’s revenue run-rate projections and multi-platform model availability reinforce investor appetite for sustained outperformance. Upcoming IPO timelines for both firms and any additional mega-rounds remain key swing factors, though a material slowdown in Anthropic’s execution or a decisive OpenAI capital infusion could still narrow the gap.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ET
Volume
$86,516Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Anthropic’s explosive valuation trajectory, marked by successive funding rounds that lifted its post-money valuation from $183 billion in September 2025 to $380 billion in February 2026 and now toward potential levels above $900 billion, underpins the 95% market-implied probability that it will exceed OpenAI’s latest $852 billion mark by year-end 2026. Strong institutional demand, including commitments from major cloud providers and sovereign funds, has outpaced OpenAI’s recent $122 billion raise, while Anthropic’s revenue run-rate projections and multi-platform model availability reinforce investor appetite for sustained outperformance. Upcoming IPO timelines for both firms and any additional mega-rounds remain key swing factors, though a material slowdown in Anthropic’s execution or a decisive OpenAI capital infusion could still narrow the gap.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$86,516Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s explosive valuation trajectory, marked by successive funding rounds that lifted its post-money valuation from $183 billion in September 2025 to $380 billion in February 2026 and now toward potential levels above $900 billion, underpins the 95% market-implied probability that it will exceed OpenAI’s latest $852 billion mark by year-end 2026. Strong institutional demand, including commitments from major cloud providers and sovereign funds, has outpaced OpenAI’s recent $122 billion raise, while Anthropic’s revenue run-rate projections and multi-platform model availability reinforce investor appetite for sustained outperformance. Upcoming IPO timelines for both firms and any additional mega-rounds remain key swing factors, though a material slowdown in Anthropic’s execution or a decisive OpenAI capital infusion could still narrow the gap.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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