Incumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore holds a commanding position in Maryland's deep-blue gubernatorial race, with trader consensus implying 93.5% odds for a Democrat victory reflecting the state's two-to-one Democratic registration edge, supermajority in the General Assembly, and historical voting patterns favoring Democrats since 2014. Recent UMBC polling from mid-March shows Moore's approval dipping to 48% amid voter concerns over affordability, taxes, and state direction, yet general election surveys indicate he leads generic Republicans by 8–22 points. The fragmented Republican primary field—featuring Dan Cox, Ed Hale, John Myrick, and others—lacks a unifying moderate like former Governor Larry Hogan, who declined to run. Ahead of June 23 primaries, shifts could stem from Moore's primary challenger Eric Felber gaining traction, GOP nominee consolidation, or unforeseen scandals.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$15,172 Vol.
$15,172 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democrat
94%
Republican
6%
$15,172 Vol.
$15,172 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democrat
$6,589 Vol.
94%
Republican
$8,583 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore holds a commanding position in Maryland's deep-blue gubernatorial race, with trader consensus implying 93.5% odds for a Democrat victory reflecting the state's two-to-one Democratic registration edge, supermajority in the General Assembly, and historical voting patterns favoring Democrats since 2014. Recent UMBC polling from mid-March shows Moore's approval dipping to 48% amid voter concerns over affordability, taxes, and state direction, yet general election surveys indicate he leads generic Republicans by 8–22 points. The fragmented Republican primary field—featuring Dan Cox, Ed Hale, John Myrick, and others—lacks a unifying moderate like former Governor Larry Hogan, who declined to run. Ahead of June 23 primaries, shifts could stem from Moore's primary challenger Eric Felber gaining traction, GOP nominee consolidation, or unforeseen scandals.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$15,172Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore holds a commanding position in Maryland's deep-blue gubernatorial race, with trader consensus implying 93.5% odds for a Democrat victory reflecting the state's two-to-one Democratic registration edge, supermajority in the General Assembly, and historical voting patterns favoring Democrats since 2014. Recent UMBC polling from mid-March shows Moore's approval dipping to 48% amid voter concerns over affordability, taxes, and state direction, yet general election surveys indicate he leads generic Republicans by 8–22 points. The fragmented Republican primary field—featuring Dan Cox, Ed Hale, John Myrick, and others—lacks a unifying moderate like former Governor Larry Hogan, who declined to run. Ahead of June 23 primaries, shifts could stem from Moore's primary challenger Eric Felber gaining traction, GOP nominee consolidation, or unforeseen scandals.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$15,172Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore holds a commanding position in Maryland's deep-blue gubernatorial race, with trader consensus implying 93.5% odds for a Democrat victory reflecting the state's two-to-one Democratic registration edge, supermajority in the General Assembly, and historical voting patterns favoring Democrats since 2014. Recent UMBC polling from mid-March shows Moore's approval dipping to 48% amid voter concerns over affordability, taxes, and state direction, yet general election surveys indicate he leads generic Republicans by 8–22 points. The fragmented Republican primary field—featuring Dan Cox, Ed Hale, John Myrick, and others—lacks a unifying moderate like former Governor Larry Hogan, who declined to run. Ahead of June 23 primaries, shifts could stem from Moore's primary challenger Eric Felber gaining traction, GOP nominee consolidation, or unforeseen scandals.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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