Recent reports from The Information and Financial Times indicate SpaceX plans to confidentially file its S-1 with the SEC as early as this week, targeting a June initial public offering that could raise $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation—the largest in history. This development has propelled trader consensus on Polymarket to a 64% implied probability for June, with July at 24.3% accounting for standard 30-60 day regulatory review periods and potential quiet period extensions. Space stocks rallied sharply on the news, reflecting heightened market anticipation amid SpaceX's Starlink expansion and xAI merger integration, though final timing hinges on SEC approval and broader equity conditions. No IPO before 2027 trades at just 6.1%, underscoring strong near-term conviction backed by real capital at risk.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoJunho 64%
Julho 24.4%
Sem IPO antes de 2027 5.9%
Maio 5.2%
$134,987 Vol.
$134,987 Vol.
Março
<1%
Abril
3%
Maio
5%
Junho
64%
Julho
24%
Agosto
3%
Setembro
2%
Outubro
2%
Novembro
2%
Dezembro
1%
Sem IPO antes de 2027
6%
Junho 64%
Julho 24.4%
Sem IPO antes de 2027 5.9%
Maio 5.2%
$134,987 Vol.
$134,987 Vol.
Março
<1%
Abril
3%
Maio
5%
Junho
64%
Julho
24%
Agosto
3%
Setembro
2%
Outubro
2%
Novembro
2%
Dezembro
1%
Sem IPO antes de 2027
6%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent reports from The Information and Financial Times indicate SpaceX plans to confidentially file its S-1 with the SEC as early as this week, targeting a June initial public offering that could raise $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation—the largest in history. This development has propelled trader consensus on Polymarket to a 64% implied probability for June, with July at 24.3% accounting for standard 30-60 day regulatory review periods and potential quiet period extensions. Space stocks rallied sharply on the news, reflecting heightened market anticipation amid SpaceX's Starlink expansion and xAI merger integration, though final timing hinges on SEC approval and broader equity conditions. No IPO before 2027 trades at just 6.1%, underscoring strong near-term conviction backed by real capital at risk.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions