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Tecnologia·Big Tech

Capital de mercado de fechamento de IPO da Databricks

Market icon
Tecnologia·Big Tech

Capital de mercado de fechamento de IPO da Databricks

Sem IPO até 30 de junho de 2026 91.4%

250B+ 3.4%

175–200B 1.8%

150–175B 1.5%

Polymarket

$365,881 Vol.

Sem IPO até 30 de junho de 2026 91.4%

250B+ 3.4%

175–200B 1.8%

150–175B 1.5%

Polymarket

$365,881 Vol.

<100B

$32,044 Vol.

1%

100–125B

$37,904 Vol.

1%

125–150B

$24,250 Vol.

1%

150–175B

$58,611 Vol.

2%

175–200B

$57,012 Vol.

2%

200–250B

$19,022 Vol.

1%

250B+

$124,207 Vol.

3%

Sem IPO até 30 de junho de 2026

$12,831 Vol.

91%

This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 91.3% implied probability, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement as of early April, despite the data analytics leader's robust private funding runway. Recent developments include a $5 billion equity and debt raise in February at a $134 billion valuation—up from prior rounds—and $1.8 billion in January debt financing, allowing CEO Ali Ghodsi to prioritize AI innovations like its lakehouse platform and Genie assistant amid volatile public markets, where he explicitly noted "now is not a great time to go public." The upcoming Data + AI Summit on June 15-18 offers a potential catalyst but leaves scant time for SEC review and listing by quarter-end. A surprise confidential S-1 filing or sharp market rally could challenge this positioning, though historical IPO timelines for similar enterprise AI firms suggest delays are common.

This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$365,881
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 91.3% implied probability, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement as of early April, despite the data analytics leader's robust private funding runway. Recent developments include a $5 billion equity and debt raise in February at a $134 billion valuation—up from prior rounds—and $1.8 billion in January debt financing, allowing CEO Ali Ghodsi to prioritize AI innovations like its lakehouse platform and Genie assistant amid volatile public markets, where he explicitly noted "now is not a great time to go public." The upcoming Data + AI Summit on June 15-18 offers a potential catalyst but leaves scant time for SEC review and listing by quarter-end. A surprise confidential S-1 filing or sharp market rally could challenge this positioning, though historical IPO timelines for similar enterprise AI firms suggest delays are common.

This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$365,881
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Capital de mercado de fechamento de IPO da Databricks" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sem IPO até 30 de junho de 2026" at 91%, followed by "250B+" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 91¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Capital de mercado de fechamento de IPO da Databricks" has generated $365.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 23, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Capital de mercado de fechamento de IPO da Databricks," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Capital de mercado de fechamento de IPO da Databricks" is "Sem IPO até 30 de junho de 2026" at 91%, meaning the market assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "250B+" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Capital de mercado de fechamento de IPO da Databricks" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.