SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on April 1, 2026, has driven trader consensus toward a June public listing, pricing a 62.5% implied probability on that outcome as the standard 8–12 week review-to-roadshow timeline aligns precisely with mid-2026 execution. Reports indicate a targeted $1.75 trillion valuation and up to $75 billion raise—the largest U.S. IPO ever—bolstered by robust revenue growth to $15.5 billion in 2025 and Starship milestones. July (17.8%) reflects potential SEC delays or market conditions, while "No IPO before 2027" (6.3%) has faded amid momentum. Traders eye upcoming public prospectus release and roadshow for resolution catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoJunho 62%
Julho 17.9%
Sem IPO antes de 2027 6.3%
Setembro 5.9%
$164,298 Vol.
$164,298 Vol.
Abril
1%
Maio
3%
Junho
62%
Julho
18%
Agosto
6%
Setembro
6%
Outubro
1%
Novembro
4%
Dezembro
1%
Sem IPO antes de 2027
6%
Junho 62%
Julho 17.9%
Sem IPO antes de 2027 6.3%
Setembro 5.9%
$164,298 Vol.
$164,298 Vol.
Abril
1%
Maio
3%
Junho
62%
Julho
18%
Agosto
6%
Setembro
6%
Outubro
1%
Novembro
4%
Dezembro
1%
Sem IPO antes de 2027
6%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on April 1, 2026, has driven trader consensus toward a June public listing, pricing a 62.5% implied probability on that outcome as the standard 8–12 week review-to-roadshow timeline aligns precisely with mid-2026 execution. Reports indicate a targeted $1.75 trillion valuation and up to $75 billion raise—the largest U.S. IPO ever—bolstered by robust revenue growth to $15.5 billion in 2025 and Starship milestones. July (17.8%) reflects potential SEC delays or market conditions, while "No IPO before 2027" (6.3%) has faded amid momentum. Traders eye upcoming public prospectus release and roadshow for resolution catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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