Trader consensus on Polymarket favors "No IPO before 2028" at a 49.5% implied probability, reflecting Perplexity AI's ample runway from its September 2025 Series E funding at a $20 billion private valuation, which fueled $200 million in annual recurring revenue and ambitious $656 million targets for 2026 via subscriptions and enterprise sales. The AI search engine's model-agnostic orchestration—routing queries across OpenAI, Anthropic, and xAI large language models—drove launches like Perplexity Computer for custom tool-building, but faces headwinds from rivals integrating similar capabilities and a fresh lawsuit alleging unauthorized data sharing with Meta and Google. Secondary shares traded at $69.54 on April 2 signal sustained private demand, pricing mid-cap IPO outcomes like 40B–75B if public markets materialize post-2027 amid competitive consolidation risks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoValor de mercado de fechamento de IPO de perplexidade
Valor de mercado de fechamento de IPO de perplexidade
Sem IPO antes de 2028 50%
40B–50B 16.8%
50B–75B 7.8%
Acima de $100B 4.5%
$124,356 Vol.
$124,356 Vol.
<20B
4%
20B–30B
3%
30B–40B
3%
40B–50B
24%
50B–75B
26%
75B–100B
4%
Acima de $100B
4%
Sem IPO antes de 2028
50%
Sem IPO antes de 2028 50%
40B–50B 16.8%
50B–75B 7.8%
Acima de $100B 4.5%
$124,356 Vol.
$124,356 Vol.
<20B
4%
20B–30B
3%
30B–40B
3%
40B–50B
24%
50B–75B
26%
75B–100B
4%
Acima de $100B
4%
Sem IPO antes de 2028
50%
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors "No IPO before 2028" at a 49.5% implied probability, reflecting Perplexity AI's ample runway from its September 2025 Series E funding at a $20 billion private valuation, which fueled $200 million in annual recurring revenue and ambitious $656 million targets for 2026 via subscriptions and enterprise sales. The AI search engine's model-agnostic orchestration—routing queries across OpenAI, Anthropic, and xAI large language models—drove launches like Perplexity Computer for custom tool-building, but faces headwinds from rivals integrating similar capabilities and a fresh lawsuit alleging unauthorized data sharing with Meta and Google. Secondary shares traded at $69.54 on April 2 signal sustained private demand, pricing mid-cap IPO outcomes like 40B–75B if public markets materialize post-2027 amid competitive consolidation risks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions