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Tecnologia·Cultura

How many SpaceX launches in April?

Market icon
Tecnologia·Cultura

How many SpaceX launches in April?

abr 30

abr 30

14 37%

13 29%

12 27.9%

15 26%

Polymarket

$16,535 Vol.

14 37%

13 29%

12 27.9%

15 26%

Polymarket

$16,535 Vol.

≤11

$249 Vol.

6%

12

$106 Vol.

28%

13

$3,661 Vol.

31%

14

$5,113 Vol.

37%

15

$151 Vol.

26%

16

$6,681 Vol.

12%

17 or more

$574 Vol.

11%

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 13-15 SpaceX launches for April, with 14 leading at 35.5% implied probability amid the company's record 2026 cadence of 41 Falcon missions through early April, propelled by relentless Starlink Group deployments from SLC-40 in Florida and SLC-4E in California. Recent momentum from April 2's Starlink 10-58 liftoff—following March 30's Transporter-16 rideshare carrying 119 payloads—and rapid booster reuses (some on 30+ flights) have sustained every-2-to-3-day pacing, but tight spreads reflect uncertainty over weather delays, FAA approvals, and pad turnarounds for 11-13 more missions. Differentiators include Cygnus NG-24 on April 8, potential Falcon Heavy ViaSat-3, and NET Starship tests, with any slips pushing toward 12 or below.

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET.

If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Volume
$16,535
Data de Término
30 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 24, 2026, 5:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 13-15 SpaceX launches for April, with 14 leading at 35.5% implied probability amid the company's record 2026 cadence of 41 Falcon missions through early April, propelled by relentless Starlink Group deployments from SLC-40 in Florida and SLC-4E in California. Recent momentum from April 2's Starlink 10-58 liftoff—following March 30's Transporter-16 rideshare carrying 119 payloads—and rapid booster reuses (some on 30+ flights) have sustained every-2-to-3-day pacing, but tight spreads reflect uncertainty over weather delays, FAA approvals, and pad turnarounds for 11-13 more missions. Differentiators include Cygnus NG-24 on April 8, potential Falcon Heavy ViaSat-3, and NET Starship tests, with any slips pushing toward 12 or below.

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET.

If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Volume
$16,535
Data de Término
30 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 24, 2026, 5:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"How many SpaceX launches in April?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "14" at 37%, followed by "13" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "How many SpaceX launches in April?" has generated $16.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "How many SpaceX launches in April?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "How many SpaceX launches in April?" is "14" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "13" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "How many SpaceX launches in April?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.