Traders overwhelmingly back a high of 5°C in Toronto on March 20, driven by Environment Canada's latest forecast models showing cloudy skies, light winds, and daytime highs stabilizing near 5°C amid persistent cool Arctic air masses. Historical March data from Environment Canada confirms Toronto's average high hovers around 4-6°C, with verified observations rarely exceeding 10°C this late in winter absent a southerly warm front. Ensemble predictions from ECMWF and GFS align closely, implying near-certainty, though a realistic challenge could arise from an unforeseen ridge breakdown allowing mild Atlantic air advection, potentially pushing temps to 7-9°C as seen in occasional model outliers.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Toronto no dia 20 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Toronto no dia 20 de março?
5°C 100.0%
1°C ou menos <1%
2°C <1%
3°C <1%
$242,170 Vol.
$242,170 Vol.
1°C ou menos
Não
2°C
Não
3°C
Não
4°C
Não
5°C
Sim
6°C
Não
7°C
Não
8°C
Não
9°C
Não
10°C
Não
11°C ou mais
Não
5°C 100.0%
1°C ou menos <1%
2°C <1%
3°C <1%
$242,170 Vol.
$242,170 Vol.
1°C ou menos
Não
2°C
Não
3°C
Não
4°C
Não
5°C
Sim
6°C
Não
7°C
Não
8°C
Não
9°C
Não
10°C
Não
11°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 16, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders overwhelmingly back a high of 5°C in Toronto on March 20, driven by Environment Canada's latest forecast models showing cloudy skies, light winds, and daytime highs stabilizing near 5°C amid persistent cool Arctic air masses. Historical March data from Environment Canada confirms Toronto's average high hovers around 4-6°C, with verified observations rarely exceeding 10°C this late in winter absent a southerly warm front. Ensemble predictions from ECMWF and GFS align closely, implying near-certainty, though a realistic challenge could arise from an unforeseen ridge breakdown allowing mild Atlantic air advection, potentially pushing temps to 7-9°C as seen in occasional model outliers.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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