Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirm Seoul's temperature has already reached 17.4°C today under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, locking in trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 17°C or higher on April 4. Short-range KMA forecasts project a daytime peak near 18°C, consistent with early spring patterns where average April highs hover around 16–18°C amid warmer-than-normal 2026 conditions linked to elevated sea surface temperatures. This positioning reflects verified real-time data from official monitoring stations, minimizing uncertainty as the day progresses. Realistic challenges would require rare measurement revisions or an improbable sharp nocturnal cooldown before final daily highs are tallied, with KMA's evening update providing closure.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Seoul on April 4?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 4?
16°C <1%
$395,398 Vol.
$395,398 Vol.
16°C
<1%
16°C <1%
$395,398 Vol.
$395,398 Vol.
16°C
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Janela de disputa
Final
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Janela de disputa
Final
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirm Seoul's temperature has already reached 17.4°C today under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, locking in trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 17°C or higher on April 4. Short-range KMA forecasts project a daytime peak near 18°C, consistent with early spring patterns where average April highs hover around 16–18°C amid warmer-than-normal 2026 conditions linked to elevated sea surface temperatures. This positioning reflects verified real-time data from official monitoring stations, minimizing uncertainty as the day progresses. Realistic challenges would require rare measurement revisions or an improbable sharp nocturnal cooldown before final daily highs are tallied, with KMA's evening update providing closure.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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