Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 13–15°C for Seoul's highest temperature on April 6, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration aviation forecasts for nearby Incheon International Airport— the likely resolution station—projecting a daytime peak of 13°C amid early morning rain clearing to partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds. Ensemble spreads in GFS and ECMWF models show 1–3°C divergence due to uncertain cloud forcing and northerly cold air advection lingering from a cool spring 2026, where March highs averaged below climatological norms of 12–14°C. Historical early-April baselines hover near 14°C, but transitional weather patterns amplify variability; watch KMA short- and medium-range updates through April 5 for refined guidance on mixing heights and frontal timing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Seoul on April 6?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 6?
13°C 23%
14°C 20%
12°C 17%
16°C 15%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
2%
11°C
13%
12°C
17%
13°C
23%
14°C
20%
15°C
14%
16°C
15%
17°C or higher
6%
13°C 23%
14°C 20%
12°C 17%
16°C 15%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
2%
11°C
13%
12°C
17%
13°C
23%
14°C
20%
15°C
14%
16°C
15%
17°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 13–15°C for Seoul's highest temperature on April 6, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration aviation forecasts for nearby Incheon International Airport— the likely resolution station—projecting a daytime peak of 13°C amid early morning rain clearing to partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds. Ensemble spreads in GFS and ECMWF models show 1–3°C divergence due to uncertain cloud forcing and northerly cold air advection lingering from a cool spring 2026, where March highs averaged below climatological norms of 12–14°C. Historical early-April baselines hover near 14°C, but transitional weather patterns amplify variability; watch KMA short- and medium-range updates through April 5 for refined guidance on mixing heights and frontal timing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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