Latest European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) ensemble runs project Paris highs around 21–23°C on April 7, aligning with trader consensus where these outcomes hold 67.5% implied probability amid tight clustering. A high-pressure ridge building over Western Europe from the Azores promises subsidence and sunnier skies following the cool, unsettled conditions through April 6, with southerly winds advecting milder Atlantic air. Differentiating factors include model spread on cloud cover persistence and boundary layer mixing, potentially capping peaks at 21°C or allowing brief surges to 23–24°C under clearer skies. Météo-France AROME high-resolution updates expected daily through April 6 will refine land surface temperatures and urban heat effects in Paris. Historical early-April averages hover near 15°C, underscoring the mild anomaly.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Paris on April 7?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 7?
23°C 27%
22°C 24%
21°C 19%
20°C 15%
18°C or below
3%
19°C
3%
20°C
10%
21°C
19%
22°C
24%
23°C
27%
24°C
13%
25°C
3%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
23°C 27%
22°C 24%
21°C 19%
20°C 15%
18°C or below
3%
19°C
3%
20°C
10%
21°C
19%
22°C
24%
23°C
27%
24°C
13%
25°C
3%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 3, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) ensemble runs project Paris highs around 21–23°C on April 7, aligning with trader consensus where these outcomes hold 67.5% implied probability amid tight clustering. A high-pressure ridge building over Western Europe from the Azores promises subsidence and sunnier skies following the cool, unsettled conditions through April 6, with southerly winds advecting milder Atlantic air. Differentiating factors include model spread on cloud cover persistence and boundary layer mixing, potentially capping peaks at 21°C or allowing brief surges to 23–24°C under clearer skies. Météo-France AROME high-resolution updates expected daily through April 6 will refine land surface temperatures and urban heat effects in Paris. Historical early-April averages hover near 15°C, underscoring the mild anomaly.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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