Latest Météo-France forecasts, corroborated by ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS, project Paris highs of 14–16°C on April 6 amid persistent northerly airflow and cloud cover following a sharp late-March cold snap that dropped temperatures 10–15°C across France. This cool, unsettled pattern—marked by northwest winds, frequent showers, and overcast skies—has suppressed recent daily maxima to 12–15°C, aligning trader consensus with 38% implied probability for 14°C or below and 19% for 16°C as leading outcomes. Early April climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 14–15°C, though model spread introduces uncertainty from potential clearing or ridging. Watch for daily updates from Météo-France, as 4-day forecasts can shift with new observational data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Paris on April 6?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 6?
17°C 18%
18°C 18%
16°C 18%
15°C 16%
14°C or below
7%
15°C
16%
16°C
18%
17°C
17%
18°C
18%
19°C
13%
20°C
9%
21°C
6%
22°C
6%
23°C
6%
24°C or higher
8%
17°C 18%
18°C 18%
16°C 18%
15°C 16%
14°C or below
7%
15°C
16%
16°C
18%
17°C
17%
18°C
18%
19°C
13%
20°C
9%
21°C
6%
22°C
6%
23°C
6%
24°C or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 2, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Météo-France forecasts, corroborated by ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS, project Paris highs of 14–16°C on April 6 amid persistent northerly airflow and cloud cover following a sharp late-March cold snap that dropped temperatures 10–15°C across France. This cool, unsettled pattern—marked by northwest winds, frequent showers, and overcast skies—has suppressed recent daily maxima to 12–15°C, aligning trader consensus with 38% implied probability for 14°C or below and 19% for 16°C as leading outcomes. Early April climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 14–15°C, though model spread introduces uncertainty from potential clearing or ridging. Watch for daily updates from Météo-France, as 4-day forecasts can shift with new observational data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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