Trader consensus on Polymarket reveals high uncertainty for Milan's highest temperature on April 6, with market-implied odds tying at 25.5% for 17°C or below and 27°C or higher, reflecting divergent short-range forecast models amid a rapid transition from early April's record cold snap and precipitation to high-pressure ridging over the Po Valley. Latest guidance from Italian Aeronautica Militare and sites like Ventusky and Meteored projects sunny skies and highs of 22-25°C under subsiding air and solar heating—above the 17°C climatological norm—but ensemble spreads highlight risks: northerly winds or residual clouds could cap peaks below 18°C, while unhindered urban heat island effects at Linate Airport might push 27°C+. Daily ECMWF and GFS updates through April 5 will refine trader positioning before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 6 de abril?
Temperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 6 de abril?
24°C 16%
23°C 14%
25°C 13%
27°C ou mais 13%
17°C ou menos
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
6%
20°C
6%
21°C
10%
22°C
11%
23°C
14%
24°C
16%
25°C
13%
26°C
6%
27°C ou mais
13%
24°C 16%
23°C 14%
25°C 13%
27°C ou mais 13%
17°C ou menos
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
6%
20°C
6%
21°C
10%
22°C
11%
23°C
14%
24°C
16%
25°C
13%
26°C
6%
27°C ou mais
13%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reveals high uncertainty for Milan's highest temperature on April 6, with market-implied odds tying at 25.5% for 17°C or below and 27°C or higher, reflecting divergent short-range forecast models amid a rapid transition from early April's record cold snap and precipitation to high-pressure ridging over the Po Valley. Latest guidance from Italian Aeronautica Militare and sites like Ventusky and Meteored projects sunny skies and highs of 22-25°C under subsiding air and solar heating—above the 17°C climatological norm—but ensemble spreads highlight risks: northerly winds or residual clouds could cap peaks below 18°C, while unhindered urban heat island effects at Linate Airport might push 27°C+. Daily ECMWF and GFS updates through April 5 will refine trader positioning before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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