Met Office forecasts as of April 3 indicate a sunny high of 19°C for London on April 7, with light winds allowing solar heating after a blustery, overcast weekend featuring highs of 12-16°C. This warming trend stems from a developing high-pressure ridge over the UK, boosting trader odds for 19-21°C outcomes near 20% each. However, medium-range model ensembles like ECMWF show spread due to potential cloud intrusions or jet stream shifts, elevating the 25.5% implied probability for 16°C or below—consistent with April climatology averaging 13°C highs at Heathrow. New observational data and forecast updates through April 5-6 will refine resolution criteria tied to official Heathrow measurements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Londres no dia 7 de abril?
Temperatura mais alta em Londres no dia 7 de abril?
18°C 24%
20°C 21%
21°C 19%
22°C 18%
16°C ou menos
5%
17°C
14%
18°C
24%
19°C
17%
20°C
21%
21°C
18%
22°C
11%
23°C
7%
24°C
7%
25°C
2%
26°C ou mais
1%
18°C 24%
20°C 21%
21°C 19%
22°C 18%
16°C ou menos
5%
17°C
14%
18°C
24%
19°C
17%
20°C
21%
21°C
18%
22°C
11%
23°C
7%
24°C
7%
25°C
2%
26°C ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 3, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Met Office forecasts as of April 3 indicate a sunny high of 19°C for London on April 7, with light winds allowing solar heating after a blustery, overcast weekend featuring highs of 12-16°C. This warming trend stems from a developing high-pressure ridge over the UK, boosting trader odds for 19-21°C outcomes near 20% each. However, medium-range model ensembles like ECMWF show spread due to potential cloud intrusions or jet stream shifts, elevating the 25.5% implied probability for 16°C or below—consistent with April climatology averaging 13°C highs at Heathrow. New observational data and forecast updates through April 5-6 will refine resolution criteria tied to official Heathrow measurements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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