Hezbollah and Israel remain locked in daily cross-border military exchanges, anchored by Hezbollah's claim of 30 operations targeting Israeli forces on March 31, including rocket and drone strikes toward Haifa that pierced Iron Dome defenses in the past day. Israel responded with expanded ground advances toward the Litani River for a buffer zone, airstrikes killing a senior Hezbollah commander, and clashes in southern Lebanese villages like Beit Lif where IDF troops faced ambushes. This escalation follows Hezbollah's record 82 operations earlier in March, amid no verified ceasefire progress. Traders watch for UNIFIL reports, Lebanese government statements, or Iranian signals that could prompt de-escalation or further retaliation before any resolution date.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHezbollah military action against Israel on...?
Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?
$29,037 Vol.
30 abr 2026
April 1
98%
April 2
91%
April 3
89%
April 4
89%
April 5
89%
April 6
80%
April 7
83%
April 8
86%
April 9
87%
April 10
90%
$29,037 Vol.
April 1
$2,253 Vol.
98%
April 2
$1,436 Vol.
91%
April 3
$779 Vol.
89%
April 4
$279 Vol.
89%
April 5
$296 Vol.
89%
April 6
$790 Vol.
80%
April 7
$20,733 Vol.
83%
April 8
$865 Vol.
86%
April 9
$695 Vol.
87%
April 10
$910 Vol.
90%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah initiates a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory on the specified date, Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Hezbollah and Israel remain locked in daily cross-border military exchanges, anchored by Hezbollah's claim of 30 operations targeting Israeli forces on March 31, including rocket and drone strikes toward Haifa that pierced Iron Dome defenses in the past day. Israel responded with expanded ground advances toward the Litani River for a buffer zone, airstrikes killing a senior Hezbollah commander, and clashes in southern Lebanese villages like Beit Lif where IDF troops faced ambushes. This escalation follows Hezbollah's record 82 operations earlier in March, amid no verified ceasefire progress. Traders watch for UNIFIL reports, Lebanese government statements, or Iranian signals that could prompt de-escalation or further retaliation before any resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah initiates a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory on the specified date, Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 24, 2026, 1:04 PM ET
Volume
$29,037Data de Término
30 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 24, 2026, 1:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah initiates a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory on the specified date, Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Hezbollah and Israel remain locked in daily cross-border military exchanges, anchored by Hezbollah's claim of 30 operations targeting Israeli forces on March 31, including rocket and drone strikes toward Haifa that pierced Iron Dome defenses in the past day. Israel responded with expanded ground advances toward the Litani River for a buffer zone, airstrikes killing a senior Hezbollah commander, and clashes in southern Lebanese villages like Beit Lif where IDF troops faced ambushes. This escalation follows Hezbollah's record 82 operations earlier in March, amid no verified ceasefire progress. Traders watch for UNIFIL reports, Lebanese government statements, or Iranian signals that could prompt de-escalation or further retaliation before any resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah initiates a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory on the specified date, Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volume
$29,037Data de Término
30 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 24, 2026, 1:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Hezbollah and Israel remain locked in daily cross-border military exchanges, anchored by Hezbollah's claim of 30 operations targeting Israeli forces on March 31, including rocket and drone strikes toward Haifa that pierced Iron Dome defenses in the past day. Israel responded with expanded ground advances toward the Litani River for a buffer zone, airstrikes killing a senior Hezbollah commander, and clashes in southern Lebanese villages like Beit Lif where IDF troops faced ambushes. This escalation follows Hezbollah's record 82 operations earlier in March, amid no verified ceasefire progress. Traders watch for UNIFIL reports, Lebanese government statements, or Iranian signals that could prompt de-escalation or further retaliation before any resolution date.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Frequently Asked Questions