West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures have surged above $111 per barrel as of the April 2, 2026 settlement at $111.54—up 11% in a single session—driven primarily by escalating Middle East tensions, including reduced petroleum shipments through the Strait of Hormuz and partial shut-ins of regional production amid Iran-related conflicts. This geopolitical risk premium has overshadowed building U.S. inventories, which rose 5.5 million barrels to 461.6 million for the week ended March 27 per latest EIA data, and OPEC+ plans for modest output increases starting April. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects strong conviction in sustained high prices through June, with June 2026 futures (CLM26) trading near $98. Key near-term catalysts include weekly EIA reports, Hormuz flow updates, and potential U.S. policy responses to supply threats.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoO Petróleo Bruto (CL) atingirá__ até o final de junho?
O Petróleo Bruto (CL) atingirá__ até o final de junho?
$7,363,222 Vol.
↑ $200
10%
↑ $175
13%
↑ $150
25%
↑ $140
41%
↑ $130
60%
↑ $120
80%
↑ $115
90%
↓ $85
55%
↓ $80
43%
↓ $70
23%
↓ $60
10%
↓ $55
7%
↓ $52
3%
↓ $50
3%
↓ $47
3%
↓ $45
2%
↓ $40
2%
↓ $35
2%
$7,363,222 Vol.
↑ $200
10%
↑ $175
13%
↑ $150
25%
↑ $140
41%
↑ $130
60%
↑ $120
80%
↑ $115
90%
↓ $85
55%
↓ $80
43%
↓ $70
23%
↓ $60
10%
↓ $55
7%
↓ $52
3%
↓ $50
3%
↓ $47
3%
↓ $45
2%
↓ $40
2%
↓ $35
2%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 19, 2026, 1:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures have surged above $111 per barrel as of the April 2, 2026 settlement at $111.54—up 11% in a single session—driven primarily by escalating Middle East tensions, including reduced petroleum shipments through the Strait of Hormuz and partial shut-ins of regional production amid Iran-related conflicts. This geopolitical risk premium has overshadowed building U.S. inventories, which rose 5.5 million barrels to 461.6 million for the week ended March 27 per latest EIA data, and OPEC+ plans for modest output increases starting April. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects strong conviction in sustained high prices through June, with June 2026 futures (CLM26) trading near $98. Key near-term catalysts include weekly EIA reports, Hormuz flow updates, and potential U.S. policy responses to supply threats.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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