Geopolitical supply disruptions from the US-Iran conflict and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz continue to dominate WTI crude oil (CL) pricing ahead of end-June, driving sharp inventory draws and elevated spot levels near $100 per barrel. The EIA projects global stocks will decline by an average 8.5 million barrels per day in Q2 2026, supporting Brent averages around $106 per barrel through June amid 10.5 million barrels per day of Middle East output losses. Lowered global demand forecasts from the IEA and OPEC+ reflect softer economic activity, while the June 7 OPEC+ meeting and any gradual Hormuz traffic resumption represent key near-term catalysts that could ease or extend the current risk premium. Traders are monitoring weekly EIA inventory releases and production recovery timelines for signals on whether prices sustain above recent ranges into month-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoPetróleo bruto (CL) acima de ___ final de junho?
Petróleo bruto (CL) acima de ___ final de junho?
$126,951 Vol.
30 jun 2026
$90
50%
$85
54%
$80
73%
US$75
84%
$70
89%
US$65
93%
$63
96%
$60
96%
$56
96%
US$55
97%
$52
98%
$50
97%
$126,951 Vol.
$90
$25,848 Vol.
50%
$85
$5,727 Vol.
54%
$80
$5,907 Vol.
73%
US$75
$16,668 Vol.
84%
$70
$19,604 Vol.
89%
US$65
$872 Vol.
93%
$63
$8,961 Vol.
96%
$60
$21,068 Vol.
96%
$56
$4,950 Vol.
96%
US$55
$2,914 Vol.
97%
$52
$6,331 Vol.
98%
$50
$8,100 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical supply disruptions from the US-Iran conflict and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz continue to dominate WTI crude oil (CL) pricing ahead of end-June, driving sharp inventory draws and elevated spot levels near $100 per barrel. The EIA projects global stocks will decline by an average 8.5 million barrels per day in Q2 2026, supporting Brent averages around $106 per barrel through June amid 10.5 million barrels per day of Middle East output losses. Lowered global demand forecasts from the IEA and OPEC+ reflect softer economic activity, while the June 7 OPEC+ meeting and any gradual Hormuz traffic resumption represent key near-term catalysts that could ease or extend the current risk premium. Traders are monitoring weekly EIA inventory releases and production recovery timelines for signals on whether prices sustain above recent ranges into month-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$126,951Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical supply disruptions from the US-Iran conflict and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz continue to dominate WTI crude oil (CL) pricing ahead of end-June, driving sharp inventory draws and elevated spot levels near $100 per barrel. The EIA projects global stocks will decline by an average 8.5 million barrels per day in Q2 2026, supporting Brent averages around $106 per barrel through June amid 10.5 million barrels per day of Middle East output losses. Lowered global demand forecasts from the IEA and OPEC+ reflect softer economic activity, while the June 7 OPEC+ meeting and any gradual Hormuz traffic resumption represent key near-term catalysts that could ease or extend the current risk premium. Traders are monitoring weekly EIA inventory releases and production recovery timelines for signals on whether prices sustain above recent ranges into month-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Volume
$126,951Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical supply disruptions from the US-Iran conflict and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz continue to dominate WTI crude oil (CL) pricing ahead of end-June, driving sharp inventory draws and elevated spot levels near $100 per barrel. The EIA projects global stocks will decline by an average 8.5 million barrels per day in Q2 2026, supporting Brent averages around $106 per barrel through June amid 10.5 million barrels per day of Middle East output losses. Lowered global demand forecasts from the IEA and OPEC+ reflect softer economic activity, while the June 7 OPEC+ meeting and any gradual Hormuz traffic resumption represent key near-term catalysts that could ease or extend the current risk premium. Traders are monitoring weekly EIA inventory releases and production recovery timelines for signals on whether prices sustain above recent ranges into month-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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