Polymarket traders price a 62% implied probability for Gold (XAUUSD) exceeding $3,000 in April 2026, reflecting consensus on sustained lower real yields and central bank accumulation amid geopolitical tensions. Spot gold holds near $2,660—up 28% YTD—bolstered by September's Fed 50bps cut and softening US inflation at 2.4% core PCE. Bullish drivers include China's 30-tonne Q3 purchases and ETF inflows topping $2B monthly, offsetting USD strength risks from potential 2024 election outcomes. Key catalysts: November FOMC dot plot revisions and Q4 GDP releases, with trader capital wagering on sub-1.5% real yields propelling new highs by mid-2026.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoO que o Ouro (XAUUSD) atingirá em abril de 2026?
O que o Ouro (XAUUSD) atingirá em abril de 2026?
↑ US$5.200
100%
↑ $5.100
100%
↑ $5.000
100%
↑ $4.900
50%
↑ $4.800
50%
↑ $4.700
100%
↑ US$4.600
100%
↓ $4.500
50%
↓ $4.400
100%
↓ $4.300
100%
↓ $4.200
100%
↓ US$ 4.100
100%
↓ $4.000
100%
↓ $3.900
100%
$0.00 Vol.
↑ US$5.200
100%
↑ $5.100
100%
↑ $5.000
100%
↑ $4.900
50%
↑ $4.800
50%
↑ $4.700
100%
↑ US$4.600
100%
↓ $4.500
50%
↓ $4.400
100%
↓ $4.300
100%
↓ $4.200
100%
↓ US$ 4.100
100%
↓ $4.000
100%
↓ $3.900
100%
Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session as listed on Pyth will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders price a 62% implied probability for Gold (XAUUSD) exceeding $3,000 in April 2026, reflecting consensus on sustained lower real yields and central bank accumulation amid geopolitical tensions. Spot gold holds near $2,660—up 28% YTD—bolstered by September's Fed 50bps cut and softening US inflation at 2.4% core PCE. Bullish drivers include China's 30-tonne Q3 purchases and ETF inflows topping $2B monthly, offsetting USD strength risks from potential 2024 election outcomes. Key catalysts: November FOMC dot plot revisions and Q4 GDP releases, with trader capital wagering on sub-1.5% real yields propelling new highs by mid-2026.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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