Polymarket traders price a near deadlock between $4,200-$4,600 and $4,600-$5,000 settlement buckets for June COMEX gold futures (GC), each at 29% implied probability, reflecting consensus around $4,500 amid heightened uncertainty from persistent inflation and Federal Reserve hawkishness. Gold Jun '26 futures rebounded 1% to $4,578 on May 6 as the U.S. dollar softened, recovering from a five-week low near $4,520 hit May 4 on elevated crude prices and strong U.S. economic data signaling "higher-for-longer" rates at 3.50%-3.75%. Supportive central bank purchases—led by Poland's 20+ tonnes in 2026—counterbalance USD strength and real yield pressures, while bank forecasts like Goldman Sachs' $5,400 year-end target underpin upside potential. Key swing factors include upcoming May CPI data and June FOMC dot plot revisions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQual será o preço do ouro (GC) em junho?
Qual será o preço do ouro (GC) em junho?
$4.200-$4.600 30.6%
$4.600-$5.000 29%
$5.000-$5.400 15.3%
$3.800-$4.200 15.0%
$922,771 Vol.
$922,771 Vol.
Abaixo de US$ 3.800
3%
$3.800-$4.200
15%
$4.200-$4.600
31%
$4.600-$5.000
29%
$5.000-$5.400
15%
$5.400-$5.800
7%
$5.800-$6.200
3%
>US$6.200
2%
$4.200-$4.600 30.6%
$4.600-$5.000 29%
$5.000-$5.400 15.3%
$3.800-$4.200 15.0%
$922,771 Vol.
$922,771 Vol.
Abaixo de US$ 3.800
3%
$3.800-$4.200
15%
$4.200-$4.600
31%
$4.600-$5.000
29%
$5.000-$5.400
15%
$5.400-$5.800
7%
$5.800-$6.200
3%
>US$6.200
2%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a near deadlock between $4,200-$4,600 and $4,600-$5,000 settlement buckets for June COMEX gold futures (GC), each at 29% implied probability, reflecting consensus around $4,500 amid heightened uncertainty from persistent inflation and Federal Reserve hawkishness. Gold Jun '26 futures rebounded 1% to $4,578 on May 6 as the U.S. dollar softened, recovering from a five-week low near $4,520 hit May 4 on elevated crude prices and strong U.S. economic data signaling "higher-for-longer" rates at 3.50%-3.75%. Supportive central bank purchases—led by Poland's 20+ tonnes in 2026—counterbalance USD strength and real yield pressures, while bank forecasts like Goldman Sachs' $5,400 year-end target underpin upside potential. Key swing factors include upcoming May CPI data and June FOMC dot plot revisions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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