Recent May CPI data at 4.2% year-over-year, alongside firmer labor market readings, have reinforced trader expectations for a hawkish Federal Reserve stance ahead of the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, driving the 59% implied probability for a $4,200–$4,600 June GC settlement. Gold futures have corrected sharply from January peaks above $5,500 to trade near $4,300 amid higher real yields and tempered near-term rate-cut projections. Persistent central bank accumulation and geopolitical risks provide a structural bid, yet reduced monetary policy accommodation has limited upside momentum, with secondary outcomes in the $3,800–$4,200 and $4,600–$5,000 bands reflecting the range-bound consolidation priced by capital-at-risk participants.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQual será o preço do ouro (GC) em junho?
Qual será o preço do ouro (GC) em junho?
$4.200-$4.600 60.7%
$3.800-$4.200 26.2%
$4.600-$5.000 12.6%
Abaixo de US$ 3.800 1.1%
$1,067,940 Vol.
$1,067,940 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Abaixo de US$ 3.800
1%
$3.800-$4.200
26%
$4.200-$4.600
61%
$4.600-$5.000
13%
$5.000-$5.400
1%
$5.400-$5.800
1%
$5.800-$6.200
<1%
>US$6.200
<1%
$4.200-$4.600 60.7%
$3.800-$4.200 26.2%
$4.600-$5.000 12.6%
Abaixo de US$ 3.800 1.1%
$1,067,940 Vol.
$1,067,940 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Abaixo de US$ 3.800
$247,132 Vol.
1%
$3.800-$4.200
$72,121 Vol.
26%
$4.200-$4.600
$66,710 Vol.
61%
$4.600-$5.000
$64,124 Vol.
13%
$5.000-$5.400
$80,393 Vol.
1%
$5.400-$5.800
$67,993 Vol.
1%
$5.800-$6.200
$255,805 Vol.
<1%
>US$6.200
$213,660 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Recent May CPI data at 4.2% year-over-year, alongside firmer labor market readings, have reinforced trader expectations for a hawkish Federal Reserve stance ahead of the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, driving the 59% implied probability for a $4,200–$4,600 June GC settlement. Gold futures have corrected sharply from January peaks above $5,500 to trade near $4,300 amid higher real yields and tempered near-term rate-cut projections. Persistent central bank accumulation and geopolitical risks provide a structural bid, yet reduced monetary policy accommodation has limited upside momentum, with secondary outcomes in the $3,800–$4,200 and $4,600–$5,000 bands reflecting the range-bound consolidation priced by capital-at-risk participants.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Volume
$1,067,940Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Recent May CPI data at 4.2% year-over-year, alongside firmer labor market readings, have reinforced trader expectations for a hawkish Federal Reserve stance ahead of the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, driving the 59% implied probability for a $4,200–$4,600 June GC settlement. Gold futures have corrected sharply from January peaks above $5,500 to trade near $4,300 amid higher real yields and tempered near-term rate-cut projections. Persistent central bank accumulation and geopolitical risks provide a structural bid, yet reduced monetary policy accommodation has limited upside momentum, with secondary outcomes in the $3,800–$4,200 and $4,600–$5,000 bands reflecting the range-bound consolidation priced by capital-at-risk participants.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Volume
$1,067,940Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent May CPI data at 4.2% year-over-year, alongside firmer labor market readings, have reinforced trader expectations for a hawkish Federal Reserve stance ahead of the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, driving the 59% implied probability for a $4,200–$4,600 June GC settlement. Gold futures have corrected sharply from January peaks above $5,500 to trade near $4,300 amid higher real yields and tempered near-term rate-cut projections. Persistent central bank accumulation and geopolitical risks provide a structural bid, yet reduced monetary policy accommodation has limited upside momentum, with secondary outcomes in the $3,800–$4,200 and $4,600–$5,000 bands reflecting the range-bound consolidation priced by capital-at-risk participants.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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