Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 73% implied probability to Apple retaining the second-largest market capitalization by April 30, 2026 close, backed by its current $3.73 trillion valuation—$260 billion ahead of Alphabet ($3.47 trillion) and trailing Nvidia ($4.24 trillion) by $508 billion. This positioning stems from today's broad tech rebound, with megacaps gaining 3-6% (Nvidia +5.59%, Alphabet +5.02%, Apple +2.90%) after a bruising prior week amid Nasdaq correction pressures and year-to-date declines (Nvidia -8.6%, Apple steeper losses). Alphabet's relative resilience drives its 22% odds as primary challenger, while Nvidia's 5% reflects tail risks of volatility eroding its lead. Apple's fiscal Q2 earnings post-close on resolution day looms as pivotal catalyst.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoApple 73%
Alphabet 22%
NVIDIA 4.8%
Microsoft <1%
$952,060 Vol.
$952,060 Vol.

Apple
73%

Alphabet
22%

NVIDIA
5%

Microsoft
1%

Tesla
1%

Saudi Aramco
<1%

Amazon
<1%
Apple 73%
Alphabet 22%
NVIDIA 4.8%
Microsoft <1%
$952,060 Vol.
$952,060 Vol.

Apple
73%

Alphabet
22%

NVIDIA
5%

Microsoft
1%

Tesla
1%

Saudi Aramco
<1%

Amazon
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 20, 2026, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 73% implied probability to Apple retaining the second-largest market capitalization by April 30, 2026 close, backed by its current $3.73 trillion valuation—$260 billion ahead of Alphabet ($3.47 trillion) and trailing Nvidia ($4.24 trillion) by $508 billion. This positioning stems from today's broad tech rebound, with megacaps gaining 3-6% (Nvidia +5.59%, Alphabet +5.02%, Apple +2.90%) after a bruising prior week amid Nasdaq correction pressures and year-to-date declines (Nvidia -8.6%, Apple steeper losses). Alphabet's relative resilience drives its 22% odds as primary challenger, while Nvidia's 5% reflects tail risks of volatility eroding its lead. Apple's fiscal Q2 earnings post-close on resolution day looms as pivotal catalyst.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions